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Minnesota Twins vs. Milwaukee Brewers Free Pick 07/02/18

Jeffrey Becker-USA TODAY Sports

The Milwaukee Brewers will play host to the Minnesota Twins at Miller Park. Fox Sports North will showcase this interleague matchup and the game gets going at 8:10 p.m. ET.

Minnesota Twins vs. Milwaukee Brewers Odds

Vegas has listed Milwaukee (-140) as the favorite over Minnesota (+130). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -115 for over 8.5 runs and -105 for under 8.5. You can also bet on the game’s runline with the most recent odds standing at Twins +1.5 runs (-170) and Brewers -1.5 runs (+150).

The Twins are 35-45 SU and have gone 42-37 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 10.2 units for moneyline gamblers, despite having gained 1.3 units ATS. The Brewers, on the other hand, are 48-35 SU and 46-36 ATS. They’ve gained 13.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 8.9 units ATS.

Brewers games have an over/under record of 33-46-3 so far in 2018. The Twins have an over/under record of 37-39-3.

Kyle Gibson will get the start for the visiting Twins. The right-handed Gibson (2-6, 3.48 ERA) has recorded 93 strikeouts in 95.2 innings so far. He’s 0-1 with five strikeouts and an 8.44 ERA against Milwaukee this year.

The Brewers are handing the ball to lefty Brent Suter (8-5, 4.28 ERA), who has 73 punchouts and 18 walks, as well as a 1.15 WHIP. Suter is 1-0 with six strikeouts and a 1.59 ERA in one start against Minnesota this year.

As a unit, Milwaukee’s pitching staff has allowed 3.8 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have an ERA of 3.93, a WHIP of 1.23 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.7. The bullpen has posted a solid ERA of just 3.12, a WHIP of 1.23 and a K/9 of 10.6.

Milwaukee’s offense is putting up 4.4 runs per contest, including 4.5 per game over its last 10 games and 4.6 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .231/.305/.402 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Brewers’ hitters have been led by Lorenzo Cain, who is hitting .291/.394/.438 with eight home runs, 26 RBIs, 48 runs and 16 steals.

In the other dugout, Minnesota’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starters own a 4.41 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 8.81 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.54, along with a K/9 of 9.23.

Twins hitters have slashed .238/.312/.400 on their way to 4.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).

Eddie Rosario has provided a spark to the Minnesota offense. Rosario is hitting .313/.354/.570 with 18 home runs, 52 RBIs and 56 runs scored.

The Twins just dropped an 11-10 game to the Cubs, while the Brewers are coming off of an 8-2 loss against the Reds.

Minnesota Twins vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The under has hit in three of Minnesota’s last seven games.

The Twins have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.

Minnesota has averaged 20.5 runs + hits + errors over its last 10 outings and 25.2 over its last five.

The Twins have lost five of their last six games SU.

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Written by GMS Previews

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