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Missouri State Bears vs. Bradley Braves ATS Preview 01/12/19

Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports

It will be a battle between MVC opponents when the Bradley Braves (8-8, 0-3 MVC) welcome the Missouri State Bears (7-9, 1-2 MVC) to Carver Arena. The game is scheduled to get underway at 8 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 12, 2019.

Missouri State Bears at Bradley Braves ATS Prediction

In the Bears’ last contest, they beat the Indiana State Sycamores, 72-57. The Bears had a great free throw rate of 0.269 (above their season average of 0.257), while the Sycamores had a turnover percentage of 27.7 (above their season average of 17.3). Missouri State was led by Tulio Da Silva, who was the game’s leading scorer with 21 points on 10-for-13 shooting.

The Braves lost to the Valparaiso Crusaders in their last matchup, 61-50. Valparaiso’s 0.571 effective field goal percentage was their biggest strength over Bradley, who had a mark of 0.355. The Crusaders’ mark was above their season average of 0.530, while the Braves’ was below their season average of 0.492. Bradley’s Dwayne Lautier-Ogunleye put up 11 points and nine rebounds in the contest.

It could be an error-filled game for the Bradley offense. Bradley ranks 272nd in the nation in ball protection (turnover percentage of 20.6 percent), while the pesky defense of Missouri State forces the 89th-most turnovers in the nation (21.4 percent).

After the Braves won both meetings against the Bears last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. In the most recent matchup, Bradley won 82-78. Bradley was successful at getting to and converting from the charity stripe. The Braves made 25 of their 31 free throws (80.6 percent), while the Bears were just 9-9 (100.0 percent).

Missouri State Bears at Bradley Braves Pick

College Basketball Pick: SU Winner – Missouri State, ATS Winner – Missouri State, O/U – Under

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Notes

Betting Notes:

Bradley ranks 179th in assists per game (12.1) while Missouri State ranks 204th in assists allowed per game (15.3).

Bettings Trends:

The Bears’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 13.8, up from 1.6 for the season.

During their last five games, the Braves have scored an average of 58.8 points per game (8.8 below their season average) and allowed an average of 66.0 points per game (1.1 below their season average).

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