MLB Lines: The Milwaukee Brewers have been perhaps the biggest surprise in the Major League Baseball season as they were the upstart leader of the National League Central Division and the third most profitable team on the MLB betting board. The Cincinnati Reds have been trying to dig out from a slow start both on the field and on the betting board. The Milwaukee Brewers will host the Cincinnati Reds on Saturday night at Miller Park with coverage on FOX starting at 7:15 PM ET.
True Brew
Milwaukee was 19-13 at home with a mark of just 13 out of their 32 home games going over the total. The Brewers ranked 11th for both run production and staff earned run average.
In the Reds
The Cincinnati Reds were 14-17 on the road and went over the total in just 14 out of 31 away games. Run production was a big problem for Cincinnati as they rank 28th in MLB for that category while ranking 27th for both batting average and OPS. The Reds rank 9th for earned run average and 3rd for quality starts. The Reds bullpen ranks 22nd for ERA which was another concern.
The Pick
Milwaukee has beaten Cincinnati in 3 out of 4 meetings this year. The Brewers have controlled the purse strings in this head to head series at Miller Park with 13 wins in their last 20 home games against the Reds as just 6 out of the last 17 games at Milwaukee between the Reds and Brewers have gone over the total. The Brewers have gotten surprisingly good pitching and have been the more consistent team as well as a proven commodity at home against the Reds. Milwaukee and under is the call.
