NCAAF Picks: Dana Holgorsen was on one of the hottest seats in the country at the start of the 2014 college football season but he is the toast of Morgantown, WV now after his West Virginia Mountaineers scored a stunning upset win over the Baylor Bears last week. The Oklahoma State Cowboys took a big step back last week at TCU in one of their worst beatings suffered in a long time.
The Cowboys will host the Mountaineers on Saturday at T. Boone Pickens Stadium with coverage on ESPN starting at 3:30 PM ET. Oklahoma State opened as a three point favorite.
Trickett Makes Mounties Offense Click It!
West Virginia is 5-2 straight up, 4-3 against the spread and 3-4 under the total after their 41-27 payout over Baylor. QB Clint Trickett triggers the nation’s sixth ranked passing attack with a 155.2 QB rating an15-5 TD-INT ratio. The Mounties are now contending for the Big 12 title.
Cowboys Poked by Frogs
Oklahoma State is 5-2 SU, 4-3 ATS and 4-3 over the total after getting blown out in an ugly 42-9 loss as TCU that was over by half time. Oklahoma State is rebuilding after losing most of their key components of their Cotton Bowl team from last year. As a result of the new personnel the Pokes rank 80th in the nation for total offense and 80th for total defense.
Matchup and Pick
West Virginia has been a weak betting value on the road with just five payouts in their last 14 away matchups. The Mounties have gone over the total in four out of their last six road games.
Oklahoma State on the other hand has been an outstanding betting value at home with 15 payouts in their last 20 games at T. Boone Pickens Stadium. The Pokes have gone under the total in just one out of their last six home games.
The home team has covered both of the previous meetings in this head to head series. Last year West Virginia pulled off a stunning 30-21 upset win as 19.5-point home dogs. We’ll call for West Virginia (+1) to continue their trend against the ‘Pokes and get the money with a high-scoring shootout that will go over the total.
