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Nebraska Cornhuskers at Michigan Wolverines – 9/22/2018 Free Betting Pick

Bruce Thorson-USA TODAY Sports

The No. 19 Wolverines of Michigan (-19) are gearing up to host their in-conference rival Nebraska Cornhuskers at Michigan Stadium. The afternoon game will start at 12:00 p.m. ET and interested parties can watch the action on FS1.

Nebraska Cornhuskers at Michigan Wolverines Betting Preview

In this Saturday Big Ten game, Michigan has been projected as the heavy favorite and the team’s currently giving up 19 points. The Cornhuskers are also receiving +830 moneyline odds while the Wolverines are -1550. Vegas has set the over/under (O/U) at 49.5 points. There should be multiple decent live betting opportunities during the contest.

This game’s opening line was -18, while the total hasn’t changed since it opened at 49.5.

The underwhelming Cornhuskers have lost 5.8 units this season and are 0-2 against the spread (ATS). They’ve been a good under bet and have posted an O/U record of 0-2. The Wolverines have lost 1.6 units this year. The team is 1-2 ATS and has an O/U record of 1-2.

The Cornhuskers are just 0-2 straight up (SU) and they haven’t faced any Big 10 competition yet. The Wolverines are 2-1 SU overall and are also 0-0 SU in conference play.

The Cornhuskers fell to Troy 24-19 in a game where the passing attack could’ve been more effective as Andrew Bunch completed 19 passes on 27 attempts for just 177 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions. Maurice Washington (92 rushing yards on 14 attempts) and Greg Bell (64 yards on 14 carries) mounted the running attack in the loss while JD Spielman (six receptions, 45 yards, one TD) and Stanley Morgan Jr. (five catches, 64 yards, one TD) manned the receiving duties.

Michigan are coming off of a blowout 45-20 win over SMU. The defensive unit allowed the Mustangs to rush for 110 yards on 31 attempts. James Proche was outstandingfor the Mustangs, putting up 166 yards and two touchdowns on 11 catches. For Michigan, Shea Patterson completed 14-of-18 passes for 237 yards, three touchdowns and one interception. Chris Evans (85 rushing yards on 18 attempts) and Tru Wilson (53 yards on 11 carries, one TD) spearheaded the ground game in the win as Donovan Peoples-Jones (four receptions, 90 yards, three TDs) and Zach Gentry (four catches, 95 yards) led the receiving corps.

Nebraska’s run the ball on 64.6 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Michigan has a rush percentage of 60.2 percent. The Cornhuskers have produced 258 rush yards per game and have three scores via handoffs this year. The Wolverines are totaling 188 rushing yards per game and have six total rush TDs.

The Cornhuskers offensive scheme has averaged 207 yards in the air overall and has three passing scores so far. The Wolverines have produced 210 pass yards per outing and have seven total pass TDs.

Nebraska has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 94 yards and pass for 231 yards per game. The Michigan defense has given up 154.7 yards per game to opposing passers and 121.7 yards per game to opposing runners. The Wolverines are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 3.90 to opponents, while the Cornhuskers have given up a 5.11 ANY/A.

Offensively, Bunch is up to 177 passing yards on the year. He’s completed 70 percent of his 27 attempts with two passing scores and two interceptions. He has a 3.47 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 3.92 over the last two outings.

Shea Patterson has managed to complete 34-of-48 passes for 464 yards, three TDs and two INTs for Michigan. His ANY/A sits at 7.71 for the season and 11.35 over his last two outings.

These two conference foes did not get a chance to face one another in 2017.

Betting Pick: Nebraska Cornhuskers at Michigan Wolverines

SU Winner – Michigan, ATS Winner – Nebraska, O/U – Over

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Notes

Team Betting Notes

The Michigan offense has lost one fumble this season while Nebraska has lost three.

The Cornhuskers offense has tallied one pass play of 40 or more yards, while the Wolverines have put up three such plays.

The Nebraska defense has allowed one pass play of 40 or more yards, while Michigan has given up two such plays.

The Nebraska offense has created seven rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Michigan has created five such runs.

The Cornhuskers defense has allowed two rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Wolverines have given up three such runs.

The Nebraska defense has 10 sacks on the year while Michigan has six.

Written by GMS Previews

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