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New York Giants vs. Carolina Panthers: Free Week 5 Betting Pick

Danielle Parhizkaran/NorthJersey.com via USA TODAY NETWORK

The New York Giants (+7) are heading south to take on the Carolina Panthers at Bank of America Stadium. Kickoff for this matchup is set for 1:00 p.m. ET and FOX is scheduled to have the TV rights.

New York Giants vs. Carolina Panthers Betting Preview

New York is a live dog and is currently getting 7 points in this Sunday NFC game. The Giants are also receiving +230 moneyline odds while the Panthers are -280. Some solid live betting opportunities might be unveiled during the game, and Vegas has set the over/under (O/U) at 44 points.

Sharp bettors tend to be siding with the Panthers, as the line opened at -6. The game’s over/under has not changed after it was initially set at 44.

The Giants are down 0.8 units so far and 1-3 against the spread (ATS). They’ve been a good under bet and have posted an O/U record of 1-3. The Panthers are up 1.0 unit this season. The team is 2-1 ATS and has an O/U record of 2-1.

The Giants are 1-3 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Panthers are 2-1 SU.

The Giants dropped one to New Orleans 33-18 in a Week 4 game where their defense allowed the Saints to eat up the clock by rushing for 170 yards on 32 attempts, including three rush TDs. Alvin Kamara was unstoppable for the Saints in that one with 134 rushing yards and three touchdowns on 19 attempts, along with 47 yards on five catches. Offensively, Eli Manning completed 31 passes on 41 attempts for 255 yards and one touchdown. Saquon Barkley (44 yards on 10 rush attempts, one TD) mounted the ground attack. Sterling Shepard (10 receptions, 77 yards, one TD) and Odell Beckham Jr. (seven catches, 60 yards) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.

Carolina just earned a 31-21 win over Cincinnati a couple of weeks ago. The defensive secondary allowed the Bengals to air it out for 352 yards and two touchdowns. Tyler Boyd had a good showing in the loss, posting 132 yards on six catches for Cincinnati. For Carolina, Cam Newton completed 15-of-24 passes for 150 yards and two touchdowns. Christian McCaffrey (184 yards on 28 rush attempts) and the signal-caller Newton (36 yards on 10 carries, two TDs) led the running game while Devin Funchess (four receptions, 67 yards, one TD) and Ian Thomas (three catches, 20 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the win.

New York has run the ball on 35.2 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Carolina has an overall rush percentage of 48.9 percent. The Giants have produced 82 rush yards per game and have three touchdowns on the ground this year. The Panthers are averaging 166 rush yards per game and have four total rushing TDs.

It appears that the Panthers could own an edge in the trenches. Their offensive line has allowed just six sacks while the D-line has registered eight sacks. The Giants O-line has given up 15 sacks and their defense has got to opposing signal-callerss just five times.

The G-Men offensive scheme has averaged 264 yards through the air overall and has four passing scores so far. The Panthers have put up 215 pass yards per outing and have five total pass TDs.

Defensively, New York appears to have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has let opponents run for an average of 126 yards and throw for 237 yards per game. The Carolina defense has allowed 264.7 yards per game to opposing passers and 110.0 yards per game on the ground. The Panthers are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 5.36 to opposing QBs, while the Giants have allowed a 6.61 ANY/A.

Passing-wise, Manning has amassed 758 yards this year. The signal-caller has connected on 71 percent of his 122 attempts with two scores through the air and one interception. He has a 4.95 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 7.26 over the last two outings.

Saquon Barkley, Odell Beckham Jr. and Sterling Shepard have combined for 553 total yards and four touchdowns over the last two outings.

In the other huddle, Cam Newton has completed 32-of-50 passes for 311 yards, two TDs and zero INTs. Newton’s ANY/A stands at 6.17 for the year and 7.22 over his last two games.

We also expect the Carolina offense to spread things out this Sunday. Christian McCaffrey (234 rushing yards, 55 receiving yards on the year), Devin Funchess (108 receiving yards, one receiving TD) and Cam Newton (94 rush yards, three rush TDs, zero receiving yards) have combined to account for 555 yards from scrimmage and three touchdowns over the past couple of games.

RELATED: Week 5 NFL Betting Odds and Predictions 

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Notes

Team Betting Notes

New York was getting 3 points in its last game and the Over/Under going into it was 51.5. The under cashed and New York failed to cover in the 33-18 loss to New Orleans.

New York has rushed for 4.3 yards per carry over its last two outings.

Carolina has averaged 5.9 YPC over its last two.

Carolina has lost one fumble this season while New York has let four get away.

In its last three matches, New York is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

Carolina was favored by 3 points in its last outing and the Over/Under was 44. The over cashed and Carolina covered in that 31-21 win over Cincinnati.

In its last three games, Carolina is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

The Giants offense has registered zero pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Panthers have accounted for one such play.

Both defenses have allowed one pass play of 40+ yards and five pass plays of 30+ yards.

Both defenses have produced three rushing plays of 20+ yards. The New York offense has recorded nine running plays of 10+ yards while Carolina has accounted for 18 such plays.

The Giants defense has allowed two rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Panthers have given up three such runs.

The Carolina defense has sacked opposing quarterbacks eight times this season. New York has produced five sacks.

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Written by GMS Previews

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