The New York Mets are set to take on their divisional rival Atlanta Braves at SunTrust Park. Pix11 will televise the action. The opening pitch is scheduled for 1:35 p.m. ET.
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves Odds
Vegas has put identical -105 moneyline odds on both of these teams. The total is sitting at 9 runs and gamblers can take the over or the under for -110. Runline odds stand at +140 for taking the Mets -1.5 runs and -160 for the Braves +1.5.
The Mets are 14-6 SU and have gone 12-7 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 9.6 units for gamblers taking the moneyline in this young season and 7.4 units ATS. New York’s covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Braves, on the other hand, are 12-8 SU and 13-6 ATS. They’ve gained 6.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 7.5 units ATS. Atlanta has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Braves games have an over/under record of 8-8-3 so far in 2018. New York has an over/under record of 10-9.
Right-hander Zack Wheeler is the probable starter for New York. Wheeler is 1-1 with a 2.77 ERA and nine strikeouts. He has yet to face the Braves this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Braves will turn to righty Mike Foltynewicz (1-1, 2.53 ERA), who has 26 punchouts and nine walks to his name as well as a 1.27 WHIP. Foltynewicz did not record a start against the Mets in 2017.
New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starters own a 3.71 ERA, 1.13 WHIP and 10.32 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.47, along with a K/9 of 10.40.
The Mets offense has slashed .238/.336/.389 on its way to 4.8 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and third baseman Todd Frazier have led New York’s offense. Cabrera is hitting .354/.391/.608 with four home runs, 12 RBIs and 16 runs scored, while Frazier (.258/.400/.470) is up to three homers, 14 RBIs and 12 runs scored.
Putting up a slash line of .261/.386/.505 across 228 plate appearances, Frazier performed well against right-handed pitching on the road last year (compared to his overall season line of .214/.345/.425).
In the other dugout, Atlanta’s pitching staff has given up 3.9 runs per game overall this year. The team’s starters have an ERA of 3.04, a WHIP of 1.29 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.7. The bullpen has a 3.51 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 9.1 K/9. In 15 games against NL East opponents, Braves starters have an ERA of 3.32 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.82.
The Atlanta offense has produced 5.5 runs per contest, including 5.5 per game against divisional foes and 5.4 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .270/.347/.404 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
First baseman Freddie Freeman and second baseman Ozzie Albies have led the Braves’ hitters so far. Freeman is hitting .296/.446/.493 with 21 hits, 15 RBIs and 13 runs scored, and the line for Albies stands at .302/.348/.640 with six homers, 12 RBIs and 21 runs.
Compared to his overall season slash line of .307/.403/.586, Freeman performed well against righties at home in 2017, slashing .362/.475/.638 over 160 such plate appearances.
The Mets have gained 6.2 units and are 8-6 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in eight of those games, compared to six that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Braves have netted 5.5 units and are 12-5 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in seven of those games, compared to seven that’ve gone under.
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER
Notes
Betting Notes
The Braves have won three of their last four games SU.
The New York defense has allowed three errors over the last 10 games, compared to 12 errors for Atlanta over its last 10.
The Mets have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Braves have hit nine over their last 10.
xxxxx
