The New York Mets are set to face off against the Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field. This NL matchup will get underway at 8:05 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to WGN to catch the game.
New York Mets at Chicago Cubs Odds
The Cubs are 77-53 straight up (SU) and 65-64 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t strayed too far from expectations, gaining 3.1 units for moneyline bettors and 0.1 units (ATS). Chicago has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. On the other hand, the Mets are 58-73 SU and have gone 61-68 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 15.7 units for moneyline bettors and 12.3 units ATS. New York has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven.
Cubs games have an over/under record of 56-70-3 in 2018. New York has also been a decent under bet with a total record of 57-66-6.
Right-hander Jacob deGrom will get the nod for New York. deGrom (8-8, 1.71 ERA) has racked up 214 strikeouts in 174 innings so far. He’s 0-0 with 13 strikeouts and a 1.29 ERA against Chicago this year.
The Cubs are going with lefty Cole Hamels (9-9, 3.82 ERA), who’s got 144 strikeouts and 50 walks, as well as a 1.27 WHIP. Hamels hasn’t faced the Mets yet this year and did not record a start against them in 2017.
As a unit, Chicago’s pitching staff has allowed 4.0 runs per game overall this season. The club’s starting pitching staff has a 4.00 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 7.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.22 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 8.7 K/9.
The Chicago offense is putting up 4.9 runs per outing, including 4.8 per game over its last 10 games and 7.2 per game over its last five. The team has hit .326/.381/.579 over its last five matchups and is 5-0 SU during that span.
Second baseman Javier Baez and first baseman Anthony Rizzo have paced the Cubs’ batters this year. Baez is hitting .297/.329/.575 with 28 home runs, 97 RBIs, 80 runs and 21 steals, and Rizzo’s line is .276/.371/.479 with 22 homers, 86 RBIs and 58 runs.
In the other dugout, New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.88 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 9.01 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.92, along with a WHIP of 1.24 and a K-per-9 of 8.24.
Mets hitters have slashed .235/.314/.388 on their way to 4.2 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Shortstop Amed Rosario and second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera continue to lead New York’s hitters. The speedy Rosario is slashing .244/.285/.367 with seven home runs, 42 RBIs, 59 runs and 16 steals, while Cabrera (.277/.329/.488) is up to 18 homers, 58 RBIs and 48 runs scored.
The Mets have lost 6.3 units and are 15-18 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 13 of those games, compared to 19 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Cubs have lost 2.9 units and are 49-52 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 43 of those games, compared to 55 that’ve gone under.
New York Mets at Chicago Cubs MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The over has cashed in three of New York’s last seven games.
Chicago has posted 24.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 30.4 over its last five.
The Mets have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.
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