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New York Mets at Colorado Rockies Free Pick 06/19/18

Eric Hartline-USA TODAY Sports

The New York Mets will be taking on the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field. The game gets underway 8:40 p.m. ET and SportsNet New York is in line to showcase this NL showdown.

New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies Odds

Oddsmakers have listed New York (+150) as the underdog to Colorado (-160). The total sits at 11.5 runs and gamblers can wager on the over for -105 or the under for -115. The game’s current runline odds sit at -145 for betting the Mets +1.5 runs and +125 for the Rockies -1.5 runs.

The Rockies are 34-38 straight up (SU) and 33-39 against the spread (ATS). The team’s lost 4.8 units for moneyline bettors and 7.1 units (ATS). The Mets are 31-38 SU and have gone 31-37 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 9.3 units for moneyline gamblers and 8.8 units ATS.

Colorado games have a 35-34-3 over/under record so far in 2018. New York has been a decent under bet with a total record of 28-38-2.

Jason Vargas will get the start for New York. The left-handed Vargas is 2-5 with a 7.39 ERA and 32 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Rockies this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Rockies are handing the ball to righty German Marquez (4-7, 5.13 ERA), who has 74 strikeouts and 30 walks, as well as a 1.48 WHIP. Marquez is 1-0 with eight strikeouts and a 3.00 ERA in one start against New York this year.

New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starters own a 3.75 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.41 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.52, along with a WHIP of 1.25.

The Mets offense has slashed .229/.308/.380 on its way to 3.9 runs scored per game this year, including 3.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and shortstop Amed Rosario continue to lead New York’s hitters. Cabrera is slashing .272/.311/.475 with 12 home runs, 37 RBIs and 33 runs scored. Rosario has a .246 average with four homers, 21 RBIs and 26 runs scored.

In the home-team dugout, Colorado’s pitchers have allowed 5.3 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have a 4.74 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.75 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 8.9 K/9.

The Colorado hitters are putting up 4.5 runs per contest, including 5.3 per game over its last 10 games and 5.6 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .240/.293/.427 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that span.

The Rockies’ offense has been led by third baseman Nolan Arenado and outfielder Charlie Blackmon. Arenado is hitting .305/.395/.542 with 13 home runs, 42 RBIs and 45 runs scored, while Blackmon’s line sits at .274/.353/.478 with 13 homers, 33 RBIs and 53 runs scored.

The Mets have lost 7.7 units and are 21-28 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 20 of those games, compared to 27 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Rockies have lost 3.8 units and are 13-13 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 10 of those games, compared to 14 that’ve cashed the under.

New York Mets at Colorado Rockies MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Rockies, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The over has cashed in six of Colorado’s last seven games.

The Rockies have lost four of their last five games SU.

Colorado has posted 23.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 22.0 over its last five.

The Mets have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games, including 11 over their last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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