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New York Mets at Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview 09/03/18

Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports

The Los Angeles Dodgers are gunning for their fourth consecutive win as they play host to the New York Mets at Dodger Stadium. SportsNet New York will televise this NL matchup and the opening pitch will be at 8:10 p.m. ET.

New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Odds

Oddsmakers have listed Los Angeles (-125) as the favorite over New York (+115). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at +100 for over seven runs and -120 for under seven. The game’s runline odds stand at -180 for taking the Mets +1.5 runs and +160 for the Dodgers -1.5 runs.

 

The Mets have gone 61-75 SU this year and are 64-70 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 15.7 units for moneyline gamblers and 13.1 units ATS. New York’s covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven. The Dodgers, on the other hand, are 75-62 SU and 59-77 ATS. The team has lost 23.6 units for moneyline bettors and 18.3 units ATS. Los Angeles has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven outings and the under has cashed in four of those seven.

Los Angeles games have an over/under record of 64-67-5 in 2018. New York has been a decent under bet with a total record of 59-68-7.

Jacob deGrom will get the nod for New York. The right-handed deGrom (8-8, 1.68 ERA) has racked up 224 punchouts in 182 innings so far. He’s 0-1 with six strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA against Los Angeles this year.

The Dodgers will be sending lefty Alex Wood (8-6, 3.42 ERA) to the mound. Wood has 122 punchouts and 35 walks to his name, as well as a 1.17 WHIP. Wood is 1-0 with seven strikeouts and a 3.00 ERA in one start against New York this year.

As a unit, Los Angeles’ pitching staff has allowed 3.8 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have an ERA of 3.15, a WHIP of 1.11 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.4. The bullpen has a 3.85 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 9.6 K/9.

The Los Angeles hitters have put up 4.7 runs per contest, including 4.5 per game over its last 10 games and 2.6 per game over their last five. The team has hit .193/.275/.387 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

First baseman Cody Bellinger and left fielder Matt Kemp have led the way for the Dodgers’ batters this year. Bellinger is slashing .257/.337/.466 with 21 home runs, 63 RBIs and 74 runs scored, while Kemp is hitting .284 with 19 homers, 74 RBIs and 56 runs.

For the visitors, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starters own a 3.75 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 9.13 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.98, along with a K/9 of 8.36.

Mets hitters have slashed .235/.313/.386 on their way to 4.1 runs scored per game in 2018, including 2.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Shortstop Amed Rosario and second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera have led New York’s hitters. The speedy Rosario is slashing .249/.289/.373 with seven home runs, 43 RBIs, 61 runs and 17 stolen bases, while Cabrera (.277/.329/.488) has produced 18 homers, 58 RBIs and 48 runs scored.

The Mets have lost 8.1 units and are 17-20 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 14 of those games, compared to 21 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Dodgers have lost 19.4 units and are 34-49 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 48 of those games, compared to 33 which went under the total.

New York Mets at Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Dodgers, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

New York has recorded 13 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Los Angeles has 12 XBH over its last five.

The Mets have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Dodgers have hit 16 over their last 10.

New York has posted 17.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 19.8 over its last five.

The Dodgers have won eight of their last nine games SU.

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Written by GMS Previews

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