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New York Mets vs. Baltimore Orioles Free Pick 08/14/18

Andy Marlin-USA TODAY Sports

The New York Mets are making a road trip to Baltimore to play the Orioles at Oriole Park. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will televise this interleague matchup and the game is scheduled to get underway at 7:05 p.m. ET.

New York Mets at Baltimore Orioles Odds

Oddsmakers have placed identical -105 moneyline odds on both of these teams. Bettors are able to wager on the game’s total with odds posted at -120 for over 9 runs and even money (+100) for under 9. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds standing at Mets -1.5 runs (+140) and Orioles +1.5 runs (-160).

The Orioles are 35-84 straight up (SU) and 50-69 against the spread (ATS). The team’s lost 41.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 28.4 units (ATS). Baltimore has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven. The Mets, on the other hand, have gone 50-66 SU this year and are 52-62 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 20.2 units for moneyline gamblers and 16.3 units ATS. New York has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

Baltimore games have a 52-62-5 over/under record in 2018. New York has also been a decent under bet with a total record of 49-59-6.

Jason Vargas will get the nod for the visiting Mets. The left-handed Vargas (2-8, 8.75 ERA) has racked up 43 strikeouts in 47.1 innings so far. He’s 0-1 with four strikeouts and a 3.60 ERA against Baltimore this year.

The Orioles are turning to righty Andrew Cashner (3-10, 4.83 ERA), who has 88 strikeouts and 51 walks as well as a 1.51 WHIP. Cashner hasn’t faced the Mets yet this year and did not record a start against them in 2017.

New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 4.02 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.12 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.79, along with a K/9 of 8.20.

The Mets offense has slashed .230/.312/.381 on its way to 4.0 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).

Second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and shortstop Amed Rosario continue to lead New York’s hitters. Cabrera is hitting .277/.329/.488 with 18 home runs, 58 RBIs and 48 runs scored. Rosario (.236/.281/.357) has produced five homers, 32 RBIs, 46 runs and 13 steals.

In the home-team dugout, Baltimore’s pitching staff has allowed 5.4 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starters have a 5.33 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.60 ERA, 1.53 WHIP and 8.2 K/9.

The Baltimore hitters are putting up 3.9 runs per outing, including 4.2 per game over its last 10 games and 4.2 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .250/.326/.405 over its last five matchups and is 0-5 SU during that stretch.

Right fielder Adam Jones and shortstop Manny Machado have led the Orioles’ hitters this year. Jones is slashing .283/.313/.428 with 12 home runs, 47 RBIs and 44 runs scored, while Machado’s line is .315/.387/.575 with 24 homers, 65 RBIs and 48 runs.

The Mets have lost 13.8 units and are 39-46 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 37 of those games, compared to 43 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Orioles have lost 8.0 units and are 18-21 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 15 of those games, compared to 23 which went under the total.

New York Mets vs. Baltimore Orioles Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Orioles, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – UNDER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The over has cashed in three of Baltimore’s last seven games.

The Mets have won four of their last five games SU while the Orioles have dropped six of their last seven.

Baltimore has posted 20.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 21.0 over its last five.

The Mets have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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