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New York Mets vs. Baltimore Orioles Free Pick 08/15/18

Evan Habeeb-USA TODAY Sports

The New York Mets will take on the Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will be showing this interleague matchup and the first pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET.

New York Mets vs. Baltimore Orioles Odds

The Orioles are 36-84 straight up (SU) and 50-69 against the spread (ATS). The team’s lost 41.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 28.4 units (ATS). Baltimore has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven. The Mets, on the other hand, are 50-67 SU and have gone 53-62 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 18.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 15.3 units ATS. New York has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

Baltimore games have had an over/under record of 52-62-5 in 2018. Mets games have gone under 59 times, gone over 50 times and pushed on six instances.

Right-hander Zack Wheeler is getting the nod for the visiting Mets. Wheeler is 7-6 with a 3.82 ERA and 133 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with five strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Baltimore this year.

The Orioles are handing the ball to righty Dylan Bundy (7-10, 4.70 ERA), who has 132 punchouts and 41 walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.31. Bundy is 1-0 with five strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA in one start against New York this year.

Baltimore’s pitching staff has yielded 5.4 runs per game overall this season as a unit. Its starters have a 5.30 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.58 ERA, 1.53 WHIP and 8.2 K/9.

The Baltimore offense has put up 3.9 runs per outing, including 4.5 per game over its last 10 games and 4.6 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .271/.360/.458 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that span.

The Orioles’ hitters have been led by right fielder Adam Jones and shortstop Manny Machado. Jones is slashing .284/.315/.438 with 13 home runs, 48 RBIs and 45 runs scored, and Machado’s line sits at .315/.387/.575 with 24 homers, 65 RBIs and 48 runs.

In the visiting dugout, New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 4.02 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.05 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.85, along with a K-per-9 of 8.18.

Mets hitters have slashed .230/.312/.380 on their way to 4.0 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and shortstop Amed Rosario have led New York’s offense. Cabrera is slashing .277/.329/.488 with 18 home runs, 58 RBIs and 48 runs scored, while Rosario (.236/.280/.355) is up to five homers, 33 RBIs, 46 runs and 13 stolen bases.

The Mets have lost 12.1 units and are 40-46 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 38 of those games, compared to 43 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Orioles have lost 33.6 units and are 32-48 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 37 of those games, compared to 39 that went under the total.

New York Mets at Baltimore Orioles MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Orioles, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – UNDER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The under has hit in just two of New York’s last seven games.

The New York defense has allowed four errors over the last 10 games, compared to 10 errors for Baltimore over its last 10.

The Mets have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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