The Miami Marlins will play host to their division rival New York Mets at Marlins Park. SportsNet New York will be televising the matchup and the game gets going at 7:10 p.m. ET.
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins Odds
Miami (+170) is the underdog against New York (-180) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this night game at 8 runs (+100 for the over and -120 for the under). You can also bet on the game’s spread with the runline odds sitting at Mets -1.5 runs (-125) and Marlins +1.5 runs (+105).
The Mets are 8-1 SU and have gone 7-1 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 7.5 units for moneyline bettors over the early portions of the year and 8.0 units ATS. The Marlins are 3-7 SU and 3-6 ATS. The team’s lost 0.6 units for moneyline bettors and 3.9 units ATS.
Marlins games have a 5-4 over/under record so far in 2018. New York has an over/under record of 4-4.
The Mets just took the previous game in this series by a score of four runs to two.
Right-hander Jacob deGrom (2-0, 1.54 ERA) will get the nod for the visiting Mets. deGrom recorded 239 strikeouts over 201 innings last year (with only 59 walks) while finishing the season 15-10 overall with a 3.53 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP. He made two starts against Miami in 2017 and compiled a 0-1 record against the Marlins with a 4.72 ERA and 21 strikeouts.
The Marlins will be turning to lefty Caleb Smith (0-1, 4.32 ERA), who recorded 18 strikeouts across 18 innings last year (2 starts). Smith finished the season 0-1 overall with a 7.71 ERA and a 1.66 WHIP.
As a unit, Miami’s pitching staff has yielded 6.2 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starters have an ERA of 6.60, a WHIP of 1.75 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.4. The bullpen has a 4.12 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 8.7 K/9. In four games against divisional foes, Marlins starters have an ERA of 11.05 and the bullpen’s ERA is 6.05.
The Miami offense is putting up 3.2 runs per contest, including 2.2 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .195/.259/.253 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that span.
The Marlins’ offense has been led by Brian Anderson, who is slashing .289/.426/.474 with 11 hits, nine RBIs and eight runs scored. Anderson enjoyed hitting against righties at home last year. Over 40 such plate appearances, he slashed .303/.425/.455 (compared to his overall season line of .262/.337/.369).
In the other dugout, New York’s pitching staff allowed 2.7 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.09 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 10.22 K/9. The bullpen has managed an outstanding ERA of just 1.21, along with a WHIP of 1.18 and a K/9 of 10.85.
The Mets offense has slashed .247/.354/.385 on its way to 4.8 runs scored per game in 2018, including over the team’s last five contests (5-0 SU).
New York’s offense has been led by Asdrubal Cabrera. Cabrera is hitting .324/.390/.486 with 12 hits, three RBIs and seven runs scored. He seemed to enjoy hitting lefties on the road last season. Across 77 such plate appearances, he put up a slash line of .493/.545/.696 (compared to his overall season line of .280/.351/.434).
New York Mets at Miami Marlins Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER
Notes
Betting Notes
The Marlins went 12-7 SU against the Mets last season.
The Mets’ bullpen managed an ERA of 3.96 against the Marlins last year.
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