The New York Mets will square off against their divisional rival Philadelphia Phillies at BB&T Ballpark. The matchup is going to be nationally televised on ESPN and the opening pitch is scheduled for 7:08 p.m. ET.
New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies Odds
Vegas is listing New York (+170) as the underdog to Philadelphia (-180). The total sits at 9 runs and bettors can wager on the over for -120 or the under for even money (+100). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds sitting at Mets +1.5 runs (-130) and Phillies -1.5 runs (+110).
The Phillies are 68-55 straight up (SU) and 61-61 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 13.1 units for moneyline bettors while earning 7.8 units (ATS). Philadelphia has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Mets have gone 53-69 SU this year and are 55-65 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 19.1 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 16.6 units ATS. New York is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Philadelphia games have an over/under record of 52-65-5 in 2018. Mets games have gone under 61 times, gone over 53 times and pushed on six occasions.
Jason Vargas will get the start for New York. The southpaw Vargas is 2-8 with an 8.10 ERA and 44 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Phillies this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Phillies will be sending righty Nick Pivetta (7-9, 4.37 ERA) to the mound. Pivetta has 153 strikeouts and 34 walks to his credit, as well as a 1.25 WHIP. Pivetta made four starts against the team in 2017, compiling a 2-1 record in 2017, compiling a 2-1 record with a 4.98 ERA and 20 strikeouts.
New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 4.02 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 8.96 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.83, along with a K/9 of 8.14.
Mets hitters have slashed .235/.316/.389 on their way to 4.2 runs scored per game this season, including 3.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 10.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and shortstop Amed Rosario continue to lead New York’s offense. Cabrera is hitting .277/.329/.488 with 18 home runs, 58 RBIs and 48 runs scored, while Rosario (.242/.286/.369) has produced six homers, 37 RBIs, 54 runs and 14 stolen bases.
In the home-team dugout, Philadelphia’s pitching staff has allowed 4.2 runs per game overall this season. The club’s starters have an ERA of 3.71, a WHIP of 1.21 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.8. The bullpen has a 3.93 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 9.2 K/9. In 47 divisional games, Phillies starters have an ERA of 3.45 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.61.
Philadelphia’s offense is putting up 4.3 runs per contest, including 4.2 per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over its last five. The team has hit .297/.335/.483 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
Right fielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez have paced the Phillies’ batters this year. Herrera is hitting .268/.321/.442 with 19 home runs, 62 RBIs and 54 runs scored, and Hernandez’s line sits at .260/.368/.366 with 10 homers, 39 RBIs, 77 runs and 16 stolen bases.
The Mets have lost 14.2 units and are 41-49 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 40 of those games, compared to 45 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Phillies have netted 2.3 units and are 14-14 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s hit in 13 of those games, compared to 14 that went under the total.
New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
New York has tallied 30 extra-base hits over its last five games. Philadelphia has 18 XBH over its last five.
Philadelphia has recorded 19.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 25.4 over its last five.
The Mets have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games. The Phillies have hit nine over their last 10.
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