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New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick and Odds

Jon Niese (0-0, 1.80 ERA) and Jerome Williams (0-0, 1.50 ERA) are on the hill in the last of a three-game series between the New York Mets (5-3) and the Philadelphia Phillies (3-5) at Citi Field. The Mets won the last game 6-5 and New York leads the series 2-0. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Apr. 15 and can be seen on TCN-PHI and SNY.

Niese is 8-6 with a 3.00 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, and 103 strikeouts against the Phillies. David Wright (.333 ) kept up his hot start yesterday, going 2 for 5 with one stolen base. Against the Mets, Williams is 1-1 with a 3.48 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, and nine strikeouts. Cody Asche (.429 ) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI.

New York is a -165 favorite against Philadelphia and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at seven runs. The Mets have an overall money line of +148 and a record as the favorite of 1-1. New York is one of the best in the NL in terms of walks, earning an average of 3.3 per game. Crossing over to the pitching staff, opposing offenses have been stifled by the Mets, who have a team ERA of only 2.55. The Mets are the fifth-best team in the league at limiting hits and walks to their opponents, recording a WHIP of 1.00 so far this season.

In games where it is the underdog, Philadelphia has a 3-3 record and an overall money line of -32. They are 2-2 as the underdog against NL East rivals, and 2-2 SU. Philadelphia is excellent at not striking out on the road with an NL-low 5.0 per game. Philadelphia’s pitching staff is one of the top in the NL at pitching on the road, with a 1.13 ERA. When it comes to preventing batters from getting hits, the Phillies are fifth in the NL with an average of 7.3 hits allowed per game.

The Mets have the edge in the season series, 2-0.

Predictions: SU Winner – NYM, O/U – Under

Notes

In their last game, the Phillies lost by a margin of one run. The Mets are 2-1 in one-run games. The Phillies have a 1-2 record in close games.

The Phillies are 1-1 when they go into extra innings.

The Phillies managed to give up five walks in their last game. They’ll have to pick it up against the Mets who are heading in with a 2-0 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.

When they are outhit, the Phillies are 0-3. The Mets have a 1-3 record when opponents outhit them.

Ranking 23rd in home runs, New York has hit four this season. Philadelphia ranks 17th with six home runs.

New York and Philadelphia both rank in the top half of the league in hits. New York sits at 14th with 6.71 hits per game and Philadelphia ranks 11th with 7.14.

New York and Philadelphia both rank near the bottom of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. New York sits at 22nd with an OPS of .625 and Philadelphia ranks 27th with an OPS of .595.

When the Phillies allow at least one home run, they are 2-3. When the Mets allow one or more homers, they have a 3-3 record.

Written by GMS Previews

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