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New York Mets vs. St. Louis Cardinals Free Pick 04/26/18

Jeff Curry-USA TODAY Sports

The New York Mets will be taking on the St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium. This NL matchup will begin at 1:15 p.m. ET and fans looking to watch it can tune in to SportsNet New York.

New York Mets at St. Louis Cardinals Odds

St. Louis (-115) is the favorite against New York (+105) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this game at 7 runs (-110 for the under and -110 for the over). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds coming in at Mets +1.5 runs (-200) and Cardinals +-1.5 runs (+170).

The Cardinals are 14-9 SU and 12-10 ATS. They’ve gained 1.8 units for moneyline bettors and 0.4 units against the spread (ATS). St. Louis has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. On the other hand, the Mets have gone 15-7 SU this year and are 13-8 ATS. Overall, the team’s gained 9.7 units for moneyline gamblers in this young season and 7.3 units ATS. New York is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has cashed in five of those seven.

Cardinals games have an 11-11 over/under record so far in 2018. Mets games have gone over 11 times, gone under 10 times and pushed on zero occasions.

The right-handed Noah Syndergaard will get the start for the visiting Mets. Syndergaard is 2-0 with a 3.29 ERA and 39 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with 10 strikeouts and a 6.00 ERA against St. Louis this year.

The Cardinals are putting the ball in the right hand of Carlos Martinez (2-1, 1.42 ERA, 1.14 WHIP), who has 37 punchouts and 17 walks. Martinez is 0-1 with five strikeouts and an 8.31 ERA in one start against New York this year.

St. Louis’ pitching staff has given up 3.5 runs per game overall this season as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has a 3.21 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.43 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 9.0 K/9.

The St. Louis offense has produced 5.0 runs per contest, including 5.5 per game over its last 10 games and 6.2 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .274/.370/.482 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that span.

Right fielder Tommy Pham and shortstop Paul DeJong have led the Cardinals’ batters this year. Pham is hitting .343/.471/.514 with 24 hits, seven RBIs, 19 runs and five stolen bases, while DeJong’s line sits at .271/.326/.576 with seven homers, 14 RBIs and 15 runs.

Pham seemed to take a step back when hitting righty pitching at home last season, slashing .257/.377/.355 over 183 such plate appearances (his total season line was .306/.411/.520).

For the visitors, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starters own a 4.01 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 10.13 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.35, along with a WHIP of 1.18 and a K/9 of 10.15.

The Mets offense has slashed .234/.332/.382 on its way to 4.7 runs scored per game this season, including 4.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and third baseman Todd Frazier have led New York’s offense. Cabrera is hitting .349/.391/.590 with four home runs, 12 RBIs and 16 runs scored, while Frazier (.264/.415/.458) is up to three homers, 14 RBIs and 14 runs scored.

Compared to his overall season slash line of .214/.345/.425, Frazier enjoyed batting against righties on the road in 2017, maintaining a slash line of .261/.386/.505 across 228 such plate appearances.

The Mets have gained 6.3 units and are 9-7 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in nine of those games, compared to seven that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Cardinals have lost 0.1 units and are 8-8 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in nine of those games, compared to seven that went under the total.

New York Mets vs. St. Louis Cardinals Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Cardinals, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The Cardinals have won four of their last five games SU.

St. Louis has posted 22.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 24.2 over its last five.

The Mets have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Cardinals have hit 13 over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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