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New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals Betting Preview

Brad Mills-USA TODAY Sports

The New York Mets will be squaring off against their division rival Washington Nationals at Nationals Park. The matchup is going to be nationally televised on ESPN and the opening pitch is scheduled for 8:08 p.m. ET.

New York Mets at Washington Nationals Odds

Vegas has listed New York (-155) as the favorite over Washington (+135). Bettors are able to gamble on the game’s total with odds listed at -115 for over 8 runs and -105 for under 8. Runline odds stand at +140 for taking the Mets +1.5 runs and -150 for the Nationals -1.5.

The Nationals are 4-4 SU and 3-4 ATS. The team has lost 0.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 1.1 units against the spread (ATS). The Mets are 6-1 SU and have gone 5-1 ATS. In total, the team’s accumulated 4.4 units for moneyline bettors this year and 6.0 units ATS.

Nationals games have an over/under record of 4-1-2 so far in 2018. New York has an over/under record of 3-3.

The Mets have gained 4.4 units and are 5-1 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in three of those games, compared to three that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Nationals have lost 1.9 units and are 2-4 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in four of those games, compared to one that went under the total.

The right-handed Matt Harvey (0-0, 0.00 ERA) will get the start for the visiting Mets. Harvey started 18 games last year and finished the season 5-7 overall with a 6.70 ERA and a 1.69 WHIP.

The Nationals are rolling with righty Tanner Roark (1-0, 1.29 ERA) as their starter. Roark recorded 166 strikeouts across 181 innings last year (30 starts). Roark finished the season 13-11 overall with a 4.67 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP. He recorded two starts against New York a year ago and assembled a 1-0 record with a 4.26 ERA and 14 strikeouts.

Washington’s pitchers have given up 5.5 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The team’s starters have an ERA of 3.97, a WHIP of 1.39 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 10.5. The bullpen has a 6.57 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 10.6 K/9. In five divisional games, Nationals starters have an ERA of 6.00 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.63.

The Washington hitters have produced 5.0 runs per outing, including 3.8 per game over their last five. The team has hit .214/.337/.351 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that span.

Outfielders Bryce Harper and Adam Eaton have led the Nationals’ batters this year. Harper is slashing .292/.486/.917 with seven hits, five homers, 10 RBIs and eight runs scored, while Eaton’s line is .435/.500/.826 with 10 hits, five RBIs and 10 runs.

Eaton appeared to enjoy facing right-handed pitching at home last year, slashing .389/.463/.611 across 41 such plate appearances (his overall season line was .297/.393/.462).

In the visiting dugout, New York’s pitchers have allowed 2.4 runs per game and its starters own a 2.78 ERA, 1.07 WHIP and 11.61 K/9. The bullpen has an outstanding ERA of just 1.32, along with a K/9 of 11.85.

The Mets offense has slashed .260/.370/.404 on its way to 4.7 runs scored per game this season, including over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).

Outfielders Brandon Nimmo and Yoenis Cespedes have led New York’s offense. Nimmo is slashing .375/.643/.500 with three hits, zero RBIs and four runs scored, while Cespedes has a .222 average with six hits, three homers, seven RBIs and six runs scored.

New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER

Notes

Betting Notes

The Nationals went 13-6 SU against the Mets last season.

The Mets’ bullpen managed 7.02 ERA against the Nationals last year.

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Written by GMS Previews

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