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New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals Free Preview 07/31/18

Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports

The New York Mets are paying a visit to Nationals Park to take on their division rival Washington Nationals. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will televise the matchup.

New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals Odds

New York (+155) is entering this game as the underdog to Washington (-165) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this night game at 8.5 runs. Odds for betting on the game’s total sit at -105 for the under and -115 for the over. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds sitting at -140 for the Mets +1.5 runs and +120 for the Nationals -1.5 runs.

The Nationals are 52-52 straight up (SU) and 49-56 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 20.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 10.3 units (ATS). Washington has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Mets have gone 43-59 SU this year and are 47-55 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 17.4 units for moneyline gamblers and 13.2 units ATS. New York has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in three of those seven.

Washington games have an over/under record of 43-60-2 in 2018. The Mets have also been a decent under bet with a total record of 44-53-5.

The left-handed Steven Matz is getting the start for the visiting Mets. Matz is 5-8 with a 3.79 ERA and 97 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with 18 strikeouts and a 3.52 ERA against Washington this year (three starts).

The Nationals will put the ball in the right hand of Tanner Roark (4-12, 4.55 ERA), who has 109 strikeouts and 44 walks this season as well as a 1.34 WHIP. Roark is 0-1 with 20 strikeouts and a 5.82 ERA over three starts against New York this year.

As a unit, Washington’s pitchers have yielded 4.0 runs per game overall this year. The team’s starters have an ERA of 3.97, a WHIP of 1.24 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.2. The bullpen has a 3.64 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 8.7 K/9. In 42 games against NL East opponents, Nationals starters have an ERA of 4.58 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.04.

The Washington hitters have produced 4.4 runs per outing, including 5.1 per game against divisional foes and 6.2 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .258/.356/.449 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

Shortstop Trea Turner and third baseman Anthony Rendon have led the Nationals’ batters this year. Turner is slashing .267/.338/.412 with 13 home runs, 43 RBIs, 60 runs and 24 stolen bases, and Rendon’s line sits at .284/.347/.514 with 15 homers, 47 RBIs and 47 runs.

In the visiting dugout, New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 4.01 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 8.98 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.77, along with a WHIP of 1.26.

Mets hitters have slashed .229/.311/.379 on their way to 4.0 runs scored per game this year, including 3.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and shortstop Amed Rosario continue to lead New York’s hitters. Cabrera is hitting .277/.329/.488 with 18 home runs, 58 RBIs and 48 runs scored. Rosario is hitting .245/.288/.370 with four homers, 27 RBIs, 39 runs and nine stolen bases.

The Mets have lost 11.1 units and are 34-41 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 32 of those games, compared to 38 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Nationals have lost 14.8 units and are 10-18 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 12 of those games, compared to 15 which went under the total.

New York Mets at Washington Nationals Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

New York has recorded 16 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Washington has 19 XBH over its last five.

New York has recorded 21.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 22.8 over its last five.

The Mets have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games, including five over their last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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