The struggling Baltimore Orioles will try to avoid losing their sixth straight game as they play host to the New York Yankees at Camden Yards. The game gets underway 7:05 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network is in line to broadcast the action.
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles Odds
Oddsmakers have listed Baltimore (+155) as the underdog to New York (-165). The total sits at 9.5 runs and bettors can wager on the over for -120 and the under for +100. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at -115 for the Yankees -1.5 runs and -105 for the Orioles +1.5.
The Orioles are 17-39 SU and 20-36 ATS. They’ve lost 21.4 units for moneyline bettors and 19.6 units against the spread (ATS). Baltimore has covered the spread just twice in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Yankees are 35-17 SU and have gone 28-24 ATS. Overall, the team’s accumulated 9.1 units for moneyline gamblers and 2.9 units ATS. New York is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven.
Baltimore games have had an over/under record of 24-30-2 so far in 2018. The Yankees have been a decent over bet with a total record of 29-20-3.
Right-hander Sonny Gray will get the start for the visiting Yankees. Gray is 3-4 with a 5.98 ERA and 44 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with four strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA against Baltimore this year (two starts).
The Orioles will put the ball in the right hand of Andrew Cashner (2-6, 5.07 ERA), who’s got 54 strikeouts and 31 walks this season as well as a 1.67 WHIP. Cashner is 1-0 with five strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA in one start against New York this year.
Baltimore’s pitching staff has allowed 5.3 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 5.45, a WHIP of 1.56 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.7. The bullpen has a 4.30 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 8.3 K/9. In 23 games against AL East foes, Orioles starters have an ERA of 5.94 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.13.
Baltimore’s hitters are putting up 3.7 runs per contest, including 4.3 per game against divisional foes and 1.2 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .197/.254/.268 over its last five contests and is 0-5 SU during that span.
Shortstop Manny Machado and right fielder Adam Jones have led the Orioles’ offense this year. Machado is slashing .324/.392/.612 with 16 home runs, 45 RBIs and 30 runs scored, while Jones is hitting .281 with nine homers, 26 RBIs and 24 runs.
In the other dugout, New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starters own a 4.10 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 8.77 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.39, along with a WHIP of 1.24 and a K/9 of 12.07.
The Yankees offense has slashed .256/.340/.465 on its way to 5.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Aaron Judge and Miguel Andujar have led New York’s offense. Judge is slashing .292/.423/.585 with 15 home runs, 40 RBIs and 41 runs scored, while Andujar is slashing .290/.310/.494 with five homers, 18 RBIs and 26 runs scored.
Maintaining a slash line of .257/.405/.533 across 343 plate appearances, Judge didn’t do especially well on the road last year (his total season line was .284/.422/.627).
The Yankees have gained 2.2 units and are 18-16 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 22 of those games, compared to 11 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Orioles have lost 16.6 units and are 13-24 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 15 of those games, compared to 21 that went under the total.
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The Yankees have hit 24 home runs in their last 10 games. The Orioles have hit seven over their last 10.
Baltimore has recorded 16.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 13.6 over its last five.
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