The Boston Red Sox are set to host the New York Yankees in Game 1 of the ALDS. The first pitch of the series will be thrown at 7:32 p.m. ET and the game will be televised on TBS.
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox Odds
The Yankees are 101-62 SU and have gone 81-82 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 8.1 units for moneyline bettors and 12.2 units ATS. The Red Sox, on the other hand, are 108-54 SU and 94-68 ATS. The team has gained 31.6 units for moneyline bettors and 23.6 units ATS.
Neither squad has been an obvious over/under play this year. Red Sox games have an over/under record of 77-77-8 in 2018. The Yankees have an over/under record of 78-78-7.
J.A. Happ is getting the nod for the visiting Yankees. The southpaw Happ (17-6, 3.65 ERA) has recorded 193 punchouts in 177.2 innings so far. He’s 1-1 with 29 strikeouts and a 1.99 ERA against Boston this year (four starts).
The Red Sox will put the ball in the left hand of Chris Sale (12-4, 2.11 ERA), who has 237 strikeouts and 34 walks this season as well as a 0.86 WHIP. Sale is 2-0 with 19 strikeouts and a 0.69 ERA over two starts against New York this year.
As a unit, Boston’s pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starters have an ERA of 3.77, a WHIP of 1.21 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.6. The bullpen has a 3.72 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 9.6 K/9. In 76 games against AL East foes, Red Sox starters have an ERA of 3.75 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.30.
Boston’s hitters have put up 5.4 runs per outing, including 5.6 per game against divisional foes and 8.6 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .305/.390/.567 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.
J.D. Martinez and Mookie Betts have paced the Red Sox offense this year. Martinez is slashing .330/.402/.629 with 43 home runs, 130 RBIs and 111 runs scored, and Betts is hitting .346 with 32 homers, 80 RBIs, 129 runs and 30 stolen bases.
For the visitors, New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 4.03 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 9.23 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.38, along with a K/9 of 11.39.
The Yankees offense has slashed .249/.332/.452 on its way to 5.3 runs scored per game this season, including 5.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 8.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).
New York’s hitters have been paced by Miguel Andujar and Giancarlo Stanton. Andujar is slashing .298/.331/.528 with 27 home runs, 92 RBIs and 83 runs scored, while Stanton is hitting .266/.344/.513 with 39 homers, 101 RBIs and 104 runs scored.
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
New York has logged 27 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Boston has 30 XBH over its last five.
The Yankees have hit 20 home runs in their last 10 games, including 13 over their last five.
Boston has recorded 29.2 runs + hits + errors per game over its last 10 outings and 31.4 over its last five.
The Yankees have won four of their last five games SU.
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