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New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox Free Preview 08/04/18

Raj Mehta-USA TODAY Sports

The Boston Red Sox are playing host to their AL East rival New York Yankees at Fenway Park. The action will be televised nationally on Fox Sports One and the game gets underway 4:05 p.m. ET.

New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox Odds

New York (+130) is entering this game as the underdog to Boston (-140) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this afternoon’s game at 10 runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). Gamblers can also bet on the game’s runline with the odds sitting at -170 for the Yankees +1.5 runs and +150 for the Red Sox -1.5.

The Red Sox are 76-34 straight up (SU) and 65-45 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 26.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 19.9 units (ATS). Boston has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Yankees have gone 68-39 SU this year and are 54-53 ATS. In total, the team’s gained 0.7 units for moneyline bettors, but have lost 5.5 units ATS. New York is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

Boston games have had an over/under record of 51-56-3 in 2018. The Yankees have been a decent under bet with a total record of 48-54-5.

Boston’s pitchers have given up 3.7 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 3.57, a WHIP of 1.20 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.7. The bullpen has a 3.35 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 9.6 K/9. In 48 divisional games, Red Sox starters have an ERA of 3.65 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.10.

The Boston hitters have put up 5.3 runs per contest, including 5.4 per game against divisional foes and 6.2 per game over their last five. The team has hit .292/.362/.495 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that span.

The Red Sox batters have been led by J.D. Martinez and Mookie Betts. Martinez is slashing .327/.395/.643 with 32 home runs, 90 RBIs and 78 runs scored, and Betts is hitting .346 with 25 homers, 57 RBIs, 87 runs and 21 stolen bases.

For the visiting squad, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.08 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 8.91 K/9. The bullpen has managed a solid ERA of just 3.13, along with a WHIP of 1.24 and a K/9 of 11.50.

Yankees hitters have slashed .256/.336/.460 on their way to 5.2 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Giancarlo Stanton and Didi Gregorius have led New York’s hitters. Stanton is hitting .279/.343/.512 with 25 home runs, 66 RBIs and 67 runs scored. Gregorius is hitting .270/.330/.487 with 20 homers, 64 RBIs, 67 runs and 10 stolen bases.

The Yankees have lost 12.9 units and are 39-37 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over’s hit in 35 of those games, compared to 38 that’ve gone under against -handed starting pitchers.

New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The under has cashed in five of Boston’s last seven games.

The Yankees have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games, including 10 over their last five.

Boston has recorded 24.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 28.6 over its last five.

The Red Sox have won five of their last six games SU.

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Written by GMS Previews

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