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New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview 08/25/18

Mitch Stringer-USA TODAY Sports

The New York Yankees are set to take on the Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park in the 1 game of a divisional doubleheader. The first pitch is scheduled for 1:05 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will showcase the matchup.

New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles Odds

The Yankees are 80-47 SU and are 63-63 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t moved the needle much this year, losing 1.0 unit for moneyline bettors and 7.8 units ATS. New York is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Orioles, on the other hand, are 37-91 SU and 53-74 ATS. The team has lost 44.7 units for moneyline bettors and 31.9 units ATS. Baltimore has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.

Baltimore games have an over/under record of 54-68-5 in 2018. The Yankees have also been a decent under bet with a total record of 56-63-7.

J.A. Happ is getting the nod for the visiting Yankees. The southpaw Happ is 14-6 with a 3.84 ERA and 153 strikeouts. He’s 2-0 with 21 strikeouts and a 1.00 ERA against Baltimore this year (three starts).

The Orioles will be sending righty Jimmy Yacabonis (0-1, 6.75 ERA) to the hill. Yacabonis has 13 strikeouts and seven walks to his name, as well as a 1.69 WHIP. Yacabonis is 0-0 with five strikeouts and a 9.00 ERA in one start against New York this year.

Baltimore’s pitchers have yielded 5.5 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The team’s starters have a 5.38 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.78 ERA, 1.54 WHIP and 8.1 K/9. In 58 games against divisional foes, Orioles starters have an ERA of 5.51 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.80.

Baltimore’s hitters have put up 3.9 runs per outing, including 4.2 per game against divisional foes and 2.0 per game over their last five. The team has hit .213/.269/.308 over its last five contests and is 0-5 SU during that span.

Outfielder Adam Jones and shortstop Manny Machado have led the way for the Orioles’ offense this year. Jones is hitting .283/.316/.430 with 13 home runs, 49 RBIs and 46 runs scored, and Machado’s line is .315/.387/.575 with 24 homers, 65 RBIs and 48 runs scored.

In the visiting dugout, New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.09 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.15 K/9. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.15, along with a K/9 of 11.40.

The Yankees offense has slashed .253/.333/.452 on its way to 5.2 runs scored per game this year, including 5.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).

New York’s hitters have been paced by Giancarlo Stanton and Miguel Andujar, who’ve collectively blasted 52 home runs. Stanton is slashing .285/.357/.539 with 32 home runs, 81 RBIs and 83 runs scored, while Andujar (.297/.328/.521) has produced 20 homers, 66 RBIs and 65 runs scored.

The Yankees have lost 11.7 units and are 46-44 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 41 of those games, compared to 46 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Orioles have lost 8.0 units and are 19-22 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 15 of those games, as opposed to 25 which went under the total.

New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Orioles, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – UNDER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The under has cashed in three of New York’s last seven games.

The Yankees have won five of their last six games SU while the Orioles have lost seven of their last eight.

New York has posted 21.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 26.2 over its last five.

The Yankees have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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