The New York Yankees will be facing off against the Chicago White Sox at Guaranteed Rate Field. NBC Sports Chicago will be airing this AL matchup and the action gets going at 8:10 p.m. ET.
New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox Odds
New York (-300) is coming into this one as the favorite over Chicago (+250) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this one at 8.5 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total sit at -115 for the over and -105 for the under. You can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds standing at -175 for the Yankees -1.5 runs and +155 for the White Sox +1.5.
The Yankees are 69-42 SU and are 55-56 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t moved the needle much this year, losing 1.6 units for moneyline bettors and 7.8 units ATS. New York has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven. The White Sox, on the other hand, are 41-71 SU and 56-56 ATS. The team has lost 16.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 6.8 units ATS. Chicago has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Chicago games have an over/under record of 53-54-5 in 2018. The Yankees have been a decent under bet with a total record of 48-57-6.
Right-hander Luis Severino will get the nod for the visiting Yankees. Severino (14-5, 3.08 ERA) has recorded 159 punchouts in 143.1 innings so far. He has yet to face Chicago this year, but he did make two starts against the White Sox in 2017, putting together a 0-1 record against them with a 2.40 ERA and 22 strikeouts.
The White Sox will turn to righty Lucas Giolito (7-8, 5.97 ERA), who has 77 strikeouts and 68 walks to his name as well as a WHIP of 1.49. Giolito did not record a start against the Yankees in 2017.
Chicago’s pitching staff has given up 5.4 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The team’s starters have a 5.15 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 6.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.72 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 9.5 K/9.
Chicago’s hitters are putting up 4.1 runs per contest, including 4.4 per game over its last 10 games and 3.8 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .203/.288/.405 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that span.
The White Sox batters have been led by first baseman Jose Abreu and third baseman Yolmer Sanchez. Abreu is slashing .267/.328/.480 with 19 home runs, 63 RBIs and 60 runs scored, and Sanchez’s line is .245/.303/.385 with six homers, 43 RBIs, 38 runs and 10 stolen bases.
For the visitors, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starters own a 4.05 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 8.90 K/9. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.12, along with a WHIP of 1.24.
Yankees hitters have slashed .253/.334/.454 on their way to 5.1 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
New York’s offensive production has been sparked by Giancarlo Stanton and Didi Gregorius, who’ve collectively blasted 45 home runs. Stanton is slashing .278/.343/.508 with 25 home runs, 67 RBIs and 69 runs scored, while Gregorius (.268/.329/.482) has produced 20 homers, 66 RBIs, 68 runs and 10 steals.
The Yankees have lost 14.2 units and are 40-39 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 35 of those games, compared to 41 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the White Sox have lost 7.9 units and are 44-41 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 40 of those games, as opposed to 40 that’ve gone under.
New York Yankees at Chicago White Sox Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
New York has recorded 13 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Chicago has 18 XBH over its last five.
Chicago has posted 21.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 16.6 over its last five.
The Yankees have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games. The White Sox have hit 13 over their last 10.
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