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New York Yankees vs Houston Astros Pick

In the first of a three-game series between the New York Yankees (68-55) and the Houston Astros (69-56) at Yankee Stadium, Nathan Eovaldi (13-2, 4.24 ERA) and Scott Feldman (5-5, 4.05 ERA) take the mound. The game starts at 7:05 p.m. ET on Monday, Aug. 24 and will air on WPIX, RTSW and MLBN.

In his last start, Eovaldi pitched 7.0 innings, giving up three runs, striking out eight and walking two in a 4-3 victory over the Twins. The Astros were unsuccessful the last time Feldman pitched. He had a good outing, pitching 7.0 innings, allowing two runs, striking out two and walking two in a 3-2 loss to the Rays. Carlos Correa (.278, 35 Rs, 15 HRs, 43 RBIs, 11 SBs) has been hitting the ball well for the Astros, going 2 for 4 yesterday with one run, one RBI, and one stolen base.

New York is a -132 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at eight runs. The Yankees have a winning record of 43-28 when playing as the favorite and an overall money line of +340. Over the last 10 games, they have a very good record when playing as the favorite (5-2). The Yankees rank third in the majors in home runs with 164. Transitioning to the pitching staff, an area where the Yankees are particularly strong is striking batters out, where they average 8.4 K’s per game.

Moving on to the away team, the Astros come into this game with a win percentage of .509 when playing as the underdog (28-27) and an overall money line of +649. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 7-3 SU and have an unblemished 2-0 record when they were an underdog to win. During the last 10 games, they averaged 2.9 runs per game, below their 4.3 season average. Houston is the top home-run-hitting team in the league with 169 home runs. The Astros have racked up 95 steals on the year, making them one of the most threatening base-running teams in the league. Houston’s pitching staff has allowed an average of 2.5 runs per game during the last 10 games, lower than their season average of 3.6. They have a WHIP of 1.18 on the year, good for second in the league.

The Yankees will take on a right-hander (Feldman) in this game and have a 46-41 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. Taking the hill against the Astros will be the right-hander Eovaldi. They sport a 44-36 record against righties.

Predictions: SU Winner – Hou, O/U – Over

Notes

When leading after 7 innings, Houston is 27-20, while New York is 28-31.

The Astros are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Yankees have an 11-10 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.

When they outhit their opponents, the Astros are 48-13. The Yankees have a 46-6 record when outhitting opponents.

Ranking 10th in runs, Houston has earned 532 this season. New York ranks second with 585 runs.

Ranking ninth, Houston is in the top 10 of the league in walks, notching 369 this season. New York ranks in the top five at fifth with 403.

The Yankees are 59-33 when they hit at least one home run. The Astros perform similarly when they hit one or more homers with a 57-34 record.

Written by GMS Previews

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