A trip to the NFC Divisional Round is at stake when the Green Bay Packers travel to FedEx Field to meet the Washington Redskins. The game starts at 4:40 p.m. ET on Sunday, Jan 10 and can be seen on FOX.
Washington notched a win over the Cowboys 34-23 last week. Kirk Cousins had an outstanding performance passing the ball in the win, completing 12 of 15 passes for 176 yards and three TDs. Jamison Crowder had a big game as well, totaling 109 yards and a TD on five receptions. Green Bay didn’t have the same success as Washington, getting beat by the Vikings 20-13. Richard Rodgers had a good game for the Packers, totaling seven catches for 59 yards and one TD. James Jones also had a big day, contributing 102 yards on four receptions.
Washington is a slight one-point favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at 46 points.
The Redskins enter the game with a current record of 9-7 Straight Up (SU) and Against The Spread (ATS) this season. In the past five games, Washington is 4-1 for both SU and ATS. Washington has seen an increase in scoring in recent weeks when compared to its 24.2 points per game average. Over the past five games they’ve averaged 29 points per game. Over those five matchups, they have succeeded at passing, averaging 283.6 yards. Turning to the Redskins defense, a few key spots could be deciding factors this week. Don’t expect Green Bay to have much success throwing the ball against the Redskins. The Packers average 184.9 passing yards per road game, 31st in the NFL. A vital part of the game will be if the Redskins can attack Green Bay’s offensive line, which currently is 28th in the league in sacks allowed with 2.9 per game. Green Bay’s defense will want to avoid scoring drives by the Redskins heading into halftime. The Packers allow an average of 9.6 points per road game in the second quarter, making them one of the worst in the league. Based on an average time of possession of 32:44 per game, which ranks second in the league, look for Washington to control the clock.
Moving to the road team, the Packers have 10-6 SU and 9-7 ATS records this season. The Packers went 3-2 for both SU and ATS over the last five games. If Washington’s earlier games are any indication, the Packers should lean on a solid rushing attack. The Redskins allow 122.6 rushing yards per game, 26th in the NFL. Lately, the Packers have an improved pass defense. They’re allowing only 181.4 passing YPG over their last five matchups. The Packers don’t waste time early in the game, averaging 6.6 points in the first quarter this year.
Predictions: SU Winner – Was, ATS Winner – Was, O/U – Under
Notes
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington’s last 5 games.
Washington is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home.
Washington is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Green Bay.
Washington is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Green Bay.
Green Bay is 8-0 SU when leading at the half this season. Washington is 8-3 SU when taking a lead into halftime.
Remarkably, Green Bay is winless (0-3) SU in games where it wins the turnover battle, yet 8-2 SU when losing the turnover battle.
Green Bay is only 3-5 SU this season when allowing at least 3.0 sacks in a game. The Washington defense is averaging 3.6 sacks over its last five games.
Green Bay has drawn an average of 8.0 penalties on opponents over its last five games, but Washington is a perfect 4-0 SU this season when penalized at least eight times in a game.
The Washington ground attack is ranked 20th in the league, while the Green Bay rush defense is only ranked 21st. The Packers’ rushing game is ranked 12th, compared to the 26th-ranked run defense of the Redskins.
