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NFL Fantasy: DFS Value Picks Week 10

Cooper Kupp

The NFL returns to a reasonable amount of bye weeks in Week 10, with four teams off (Eagles, Ravens, Raiders and Chiefs). In total, there are 14 games for Week 10 or about 28 quarterbacks, 36 running backs, 70 wide receivers and 32 tight ends to consider for your DFS lineup. Considering each of these players’ matchups, at their current prices, these players are worth consideration in Week 10. Here are the best DFS values for Week 10 of the NFL season.

QB – Ryan Fitzpatrick $4900

In what could be the most entertaining game of the weekend (sarcasm), Ryan Fitzpatrick and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers host the New York Jets. It’s what could be dubbed a revenge game for both quarterbacks and both teams. Fitzpatrick used to be the Jets starter and Josh McCown, who now starts for the Jets, used to be the starter for the Bucs.

This game will be Fitzpatrick’s first start of the season, as Jameis Winston is sidelined with a shoulder injury. Fitzpatrick is familiar with the Jets, both as a starter for them and as an opposing player. Fitzpatrick has played the Jets nine times in his career. The highlight of his career against the Jets came in 2011 when Fitzpatrick had a 25.96 point fantasy game in a 28-24 losing enough.

Even without Mike Evans, the Bucs have enough offensive talent to compete against the Jets. In a game that should be played in great weather by two angry quarterbacks with not much to play for other than pride, look at Fitzpatrick as a low-cost option with middle to high upside in DFS.

RB – C.J. Anderson $4000

For the Broncos to have any success against the Patriots on Sunday, they will need C.J. Anderson to have a productive game. Anderson is coming off a terrible game in Week 9 and has seen his price decline from $7200 in Week 3 down to just $4000 in Week 10. There are a few reasons to believe Anderson will have a big day against the Patriots in Week 10.

Anderson averages 7.0 yards per carry and 10.50 yards per reception against the Patriots in his career. In a similar situation two years ago, with Osweiler at quarterback, Anderson went off against New England for 113 yards rushing and two touchdowns (it was Week 11 in 2015 to be exact).

Anderson is at his most productive in his career in primetime games. Anderson averages over 10% more fantasy points in late games compared to his career average. The Patriots will try and stack the box against Anderson, but with how weak the Patriots passing defense has been, even Brock Osweiler may cause the Patriots to move the safety back, opening things up for Anderson. At $4000, Anderson is a good option to start in DFS.

WR – Cooper Kupp $4600

The rookie wide receiver offers great value on Sunday as he and the Rams face a Texans secondary that has given up over 700 yards passing in the last two weeks. Kupp has shown some flashes of greatness in his rookie season, exceeding 15 points three times in DraftKings style scoring. He has the potential to top that number again in Week 10. The Texans have allowed 11 different wide receivers this season to catch at least four passes in a game (which averages out to about 1.38 per game). If Kupp can grab at least four receptions and add a touchdown, which is a good possibility, he will be one of the best values at the wide receiver position in Week 10.

TE – Dion Sims $2600

With the Chicago Bears losing Zach Miller for the season, the starting tight end spot falls to Dion Sims. Sims is not that much worse than Zach Miller, who was starting to develop in a reliable fantasy option before a career-threatening leg injury.  The Bears quarterback, Mitch Trubisky relies on a big tight end to target, meaning Sims should see some passes go his way. Although the Bears are not a big passing offense, they have shown somewhat of a willingness to run play-action, rollout plays in the red zone with the tight end often being the primary target. As long as their offense continues to operate the same way, a cheap Bears tight end is a good value in DFS.

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Written by Geoff Harvey

Geoff Harvey has been creating odds and betting models since his days in the womb, just don't ask him how he used to get his injury reports back then. Harvey contributes a wealth of quality and informational content that is a valuable resource for any handicapper.

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