Tuesday, December 12, 2017
Alex Smith

NFL Fantasy: DFS Value Picks For Week 6

With some of the best running backs on their bye week and some of the biggest passing offenses coming off theirs, this is an interesting week for daily fantasy football. There are some great value options at every position, although you should expect to spend a little more than usual at quarterback. Otherwise, these are all low-cost options with high upsides. Here are the best DFS value picks for Week 6 of the NFL season.

QB – Alex Smith $6400

It is a bad week for cheap quarterbacks, as few options are less than $6000 and no one under $5000 is worth starting. That means, this week Alex Smith gets to be the best value pick at quarterback for Week 6 of the NFL season.  Smith has been incredible this season and now sits at 8-1 odds to win MVP this season, the third favorite behind Aaron Rodgers and Tom Brady.

This is a big game for Smith, as the Steelers knocked the Chiefs out of the playoffs last season. Smith played poorly in that game, throwing for just 172 yards and one touchdown, but since that game, Smith and the Chiefs offense has taken off. The Steelers do rank third in DraftKings against quarterbacks but have faced a pretty sad group so far this season (Mike Glennon, Deshone Kozier, Joe Flacco, Blake Bortles and Case Keenum). Look for Smith to have another big game on Sunday as the Chiefs will use their multiple offensive weapons to pick apart the Steelers.

RB – Elijah McGuire $4600 or Mark Ingram $4400

The best value option of the week at running back is contingent on the health of the teams other running back. The strategy is to put Elijah McGuire into your starting lineup if Bilal Powell is ruled out. If Bilal Powell is healthy and starting for the Jets, switch McGuire out for Mark Ingram. The Jets have utilized their receiving backs well this season. Should McGuire get the start, he could have a big game against a Patriots defense giving up the most fantasy points to running backs at 22.40 per game and the most receiving yards to running backs at 74.4 per game.

If Powell is healthy and starting, switch him out for Mark Ingram. Ingram will see an uptick in his workload with Adrian Peterson being traded to Arizona. At $4400, Mark Ingram is slightly cheaper than McGuire. The different between the two is McGuire offers big-play potential, while Ingram will need volume to be a good start in DFS. Since we think he will get more touches in Week 6, he is a great option to substitute in for McGuire if Powell is starting.

WR – Taylor Gabriel $4600

As Julio Jones is questionable going into Week 6 against the Miami Dolphins, Taylor Gabriel is a good value start at wide receiver. The Atlanta Falcons’ receiver had great success when Julio Jones missed two games last season, catching 142 yards and two touchdowns. Even if Jones is healthy, he may see a reduction in his workload to conserve his health going forward. The matchup itself is neither good nor bad for Gabriel. The Miami Dolphins rank 15th in DraftKings for points allowed to wide receivers, but the Dolphins are allowing a league-high 73% of targets thrown to wide receivers to be caught. If Miami could do something on offense, this could be an even better matchup for Gabriel as it would force the Falcons to throw more often. Nonetheless, for the price he is on, it is tough to find much better than Gabriel.

TE – Zach Miller $2900

Few, if any DFS options this week offers as good of a value as Zach Miller. At just $2900, he may be one of the cheapest options you consider starting all season, but with the Bears offense starting Mitchell Trubisky instead of Mike Glennon, Miller becomes a better option. Miller may not need a touchdown to have a great game, which is not the case for the majority of the tight ends costing $5000 or less.

He should start to see his floor raise, as Trubisky targets him more. If Trubisky can begin to get him five/six receptions per game, Miller may become a double-digit scorer in DraftKings without needing a touchdown.  He does have a good chance at scoring a touchdown against the Baltimore Ravens. They are tied for the third most touchdowns allowed to tight ends this season. The price is right on Miller in Week 6.

Click here to bet on the football futures for the 2017 NFL season right now. DSI will have all of the latest lines, spreads and props for this year’s action!

About Geoff Harvey

Geoff Harvey has been setting his fantasy rosters since his days in the womb, just don't ask him how he used to get his waiver-wire reports back then. He's a lifelong fan of sports, especially the fantasy and betting aspects.

About Geoff Harvey

Geoff Harvey has been setting his fantasy rosters since his days in the womb, just don't ask him how he used to get his waiver-wire reports back then. He's a lifelong fan of sports, especially the fantasy and betting aspects.

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