NFL Picks: The Green Bay Packers are always a good bet to consider as long as QB Aaron Rodgers is healthy. The Pack continues to outscore opponents with Rodgers while their defense remains inconsistent. The Chicago Bears have no defense and an offense that is a risky proposition with erratic head case QB Jay Cutler.
In the renewal of the oldest rivalry in NFL history the Green Bay Packers will host the Chicago Bears at Lambeau Field on NBC Sunday Night Football with coverage starting at 8:30 PM ET. Green Bay opened as a seven point favorite with a total of 53.
In the Green and Gold
Green Bay remains a consistently profitable team which is surprising due to their perennial success and their status as a public team. The Pack is 5-3 straight up, 4-3-1 against the spread, and 7-1 over the total. Green Bay ranks sixth in the NFL for scoring offense as expected but defense remains a constant worry. The Packers rank 25th overall for total defense and 19th for scoring defense.
In Hibernation
The Bears are 3-5 SU, 3-5 ATS, and 5-3 over the total after an ugly 51-23 loss at New England. The Bears have lost four out of their last five games both SU and ATS. Chicago ranks 19th for scoring offense and 29th for scoring defense. Second year head coach Marc Trestman has definitely changed the Bears personality but not for the better.
Matchup and Pick
As bad as things have gone for the Bears they have maintained decent betting value on the road. Chicago has covered the spread in three out of their last five road matchups with 16 out of their last 20 away games going over the total.
Green Bay had long been one of the strongest betting values in any sport at home but that has since caught up to them. The Packers have covered the spread in just two out of their last nine home games with five out of their last seven home matchups going over the total.
The Packers have been the boss of the cashier’s cage in their head to head series with the Bears. Green Bay has covered the spread in 11 out of their last 14 games against the Bears with 11 out of the last 14 meetings between the Bears and Packers going under the total.
Green Bay has paid out in four out of their last six home games against the Bears with five out of the last six meetings at Green Bay between the Bears and Packers going under the total.
We like the head to head dominance of the Pack. Green Bay and under is the call.
