super bowl betting
Credit: Matthew Emmons-USA TODAY Sports

How to Bet on Super Bowl 53: Super Bowl Betting Odds and Predictions

The Super Bowl is one of the most popular gambling days of the year and as gambling laws change in favor of bettors, that’s only going to rind more true as time goes on.

The Super Bowl will make its third trip to Atlanta on Feb. 3, 2019. This will be the first Super Bowl played in Mercedes-Benz Stadium, as the previous two (Super Bowl XXVIII, Super Bowl XXXIV) were played in the recently demolished Georgia Dome.

Though the game won’t take place for another six months, Super Bowl bets can already be placed. Super Bowl odds are available for all 32 teams, though they will change throughout the season.

Betting on Super Bowl 53 now is similar to making a single-game moneyline bet. For example, let’s say you placed a $100 bet on the New England Patriots to win the Super Bowl at +400 odds. If the Patriots did indeed win, you would get your original $100 stake back plus $400 in profit.

Since picking the Super Bowl champion in August is difficult, any correct choice would land a decent profit. But there would be no bigger win than the Cleveland Browns, who have the longest odds at +10,000.

So, who should you bet on? Is it better to trust a tried and true contender, or take a bigger risk for a bigger payday?

The odds of the Philadelphia Eagles winning the Super Bowl were +5,000 at this time last year. Will something like that happen again? Here’s all the information you need to place a wager on Super Bowl LIII.

2018-19 Odds

Los Angeles Rams +450

New England Patriots +800

Kansas City Chiefs +900

Philadelphia Eagles +1100

Jacksonville Jaguars +1200

Pittsburgh Steelers +1200

Minnesota Vikings +1200

New Orleans Saints +1400

Green Bay Packers +1800

Chicago Bears +2500

Los Angeles Chargers +2500

Atlanta Falcons +2500

Carolina Panthers +2800

Baltimore Ravens +2800

Cincinnati Bengals +4000

Denver Broncos +4000

Tampa Bay Buccaneers +4000

Miami Dolphins +4000

Washington Redskins +4000

Dallas Cowboys +5000

Seattle Seahawks +5000

Houston Texans +5000

Tennessee Titans +5000

New York Giants +6600

Detroit Lions +6600

Cleveland Browns +7000

Indianapolis Colts +8000

Super Bowl 53 Predictions

AFC Conference Analysis

It seems the Patriots are always the year in and year out favorite, and rightfully so, their division (AFC East) is considered to be one of the weakest, giving them almost a free ride to the playoffs each season. They also have one of, if not the, greatest quarterback and head coach combination with Tom Brady and Bill Belichick. Chances are New England will be in Atlanta come February 3.

As for who could possibly knock them out, the Pittsburgh Steelers are the second highest AFC team, but with an aging quarterback in Ben Roethlisburger and a question mark at running back with Le’Veon Bell, the Steelers are a true gamble.

super bowl betting
Credit: Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports

The third highest AFC team is the Houston Texans. They were one of the best teams once rookie Deshaun Watson took midway through the first game, but a knee injury ended his season and the Texans hopes. All signs point to him being ready for 2018-19, but it’s always iffy when dealing with a knee injury.

The Jacksonville Jaguars are sitting at +2,200, a surprise given they were close to knocking off the Patriots in the AFC Championship Game and going to their first Super Bowl in franchise history. If anyone looks ready to knockout the Patriots, it’s the Jaguars.

NFC Conference Analysis

The NFC is a bit more balanced with the defending Super Bowl champions the Philadelphia Eagles being the  favorite to return to the Super Bowl.

The Eagles ran the table in the playoffs despite not having starting quarterback Carson Wentz. Backup Nick Foles played out of his mind in the Super Bowl to help the Eagles win their first in franchise history.

Wentz will be back, but the questions are when and will Foles be able to carry it over into this season when needed. If Wentz is healthy, the Eagles are clearly the best in the NFC and if not, they may still be the best.

The Green Bay Packers are right behind the Eagles, which could be a surprise seeing the Packers didn’t make the playoffs last season, but it’s only surprise if you haven’t heard of Aaron Rodgers.

super bowl betting, super bowl
Credit: Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports

The leader of the Pack is back after collarbone injury, he came back for a game last year but went back out after Green Bay was eliminated from postseason contention.

With Rodgers, the sky is the limit for the Packers, but there has been a lot of turnover in the coaching staff. Whether it’s for the better is to be seen.

The Minnesota Vikings were a game from playing in the Super Bowl in front of their home crowd, but the Eagles demolished them in the NFC Championship Game. Still, the Vikings have a new quarterback in Kirk Cousins, but who knows if that’s an improvement after how well Case Keenum played last season.

The New Orleans Saints now have a running game and good defense, something quarterback Drew Brees has done well without. With the weapons and the help from the defense, Brees is sure to have an outstanding season.

The Los Angeles Rams are also a great pick with defense led by the front line of Ndamukong Suh and Aaron Donald.

The offense was great as well last year with Todd Gurley at running back and Jared Goff showing why he was picked No. 1 ahead of Wentz.

The Atlanta Falcons nearly won it all two seasons ago and will be a solid pick as well, but unlike the Patriots, they have to face one of the toughest divisions in the NFC South that includes the Saints, Carolina Panthers and Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

Super Bowl Betting Sleepers

Looking at the bottom 16 of the Super Bowl betting odds list, there are some contenders.

Not the Cleveland Browns, however it could be smart to pick the over on their win total, but the New York Giants at +6,000.

The Giants were one of the favorites going into 2017, but injuries tarnished their season from the start. They are healthy now and probably should be much higher on the list.

If Andrew Luck can get on the field, the Indianapolis Colts will make a leap up the list sitting at +4,000 now. That is a big question though. If Luck is back to full strength, and the Colts truly improved their offensive line and secondary, Indy could be one of the best in a weak AFC.

Odds History

Super Bowl

Matchup

Spread

Total

Score

ATS

O/U

52

NE/PHI

NE -5.5

48

      PHI 41 – NE 33

Underdog

 Over

51

NE/ATL

NE -3

57.5

NE 34 – ATL 28 (OT)

Favorite

Over

50

CAR/DEN

CAR -5

43.5

DEN 24 – CAR 10

Underdog

Under

49

SEA/NE

PK

47.5

NE 28 – SEA 24

—-

Over

48

SEA/DEN

DEN -2.5

47.5

SEA 43 – DEN 8

Underdog

Over

47

SF/BAL

SF -4.5

48

BAL 34 – SF 31

Underdog

Over

46

NYG/NE

NE -2.5

53

NYG 21 – NE 17

Underdog

Under

45

GB/PIT

GB -3

45

GB 31 – PIT 25

Favorite

Over

44

NO/IND

IND -5

57

NO 31 – IND 17

Underdog

Under

43

PIT/AZ

PIT -7

46

PIT 27 – AZ 23

Underdog

Over

42

NYG/NE

NE -12

55

NYG 17 – NE 14

Underdog

Under

41

IND/CHI

IND -7

47

IND 29 – CHI 17

Favorite

Under

40

PIT/SEA

PIT -4

47

PIT 21 – SEA 10

Favorite

Under

39

NE/PHI

NE -7

46.5

NE 24 – PHI 21

Underdog

Under

38

NE/CAR

NE -7

37.5

NE 32 – CAR 29

Underdog

Over

37

TB/OAK

OAK -4

44

TB 48 – OAK 21

Underdog

Over

36

NE/STL

STL -14

53

NE 20 – STL 17

Underdog

Under

35

BAL/NYG

BAL -3

33

BAL 34 – NYG 7

Favorite

Over

34

STL/TEN

STL -7

45

STL 23 – TEN 16

Push

Under

33

DEN/ATL

DEN -7.5

52.5

DEN 34 – ATL 19

Favorite

Over

32

DEN/GB

GB -11

49

DEN 31 – GB 24

Underdog

Over

31

GB/NE

GB -14

49

GB 35 – NE 21

Push

Over

30

DAL/PIT

DAL -13.5

51

DAL 27 – PIT 17

Underdog

Under

29

SF/SD

SF -18.5

53.5

SF 49 – SD 26

Favorite

Over

28

DAL/BUF

DAL -10.5

50.5

DAL 30 – BUF 13

Favorite

Under

27

DAL/BUF

DAL -6.5

44.5

DAL 52 – BUF 17

Favorite

Over

26

WAS/BUF

WAS -7

49

WAS 27 – BUF 24

Favorite

Over

25

NYG/BUF

BUF -7

40.5

NYG 20 – BUF 19

Underdog

Under

24

SF/DEN

SF -12

48

SF 55 – DEN 10

Favorite

Over

23

SF/CIN

SF -7

48

SF 20 – CIN 16

Underdog

Under

22

WAS/DEN

DEN -3

47

WAS 42 – DEN 10

Underdog

Over

21

NYG/DEN

NYG -9.5

40

NYG 39 – DEN 20

Favorite

Over

20

CHI/NE

CHI -10

37.5

CHI 46 – NE 10

Favorite

Over

19

SF/MIA

SF -3.5

53.5

SF 38 – MIA 16

Favorite

Over

18

LA/WAS

WAS -3

48

LA 38 – WAS 9

Favorite

Under

17

WAS/MIA

MIA -3

36.5

WAS 27 – MIA 17

Underdog

Over

16

SF/CIN

SF -1

48

SF 26 – CIN 21

Favorite

Under

15

OAK/PHI

PHI -3

37.5

OAK 27 – PHI 10

Underdog

Under

14

PIT/LA

PIT -10.5

36

PIT 31 – LA 19

Favorite

Over

13

PIT/DAL

PIT -3.5

37

PIT 35 – DAL 31

Favorite

Over

12

DAL/DEN

DAL -6

39

DAL 27 – DEN 10

Favorite

Under

11

OAK/MIN

OAK -4

38

OAK 34 – MIN 14

Favorite

Over

10

PIT/DAL

PIT -7

36

PIT 21 – DAL 7

Underdog

Over

9

PIT/MIN

PIT -3

33

PIT 16 – MIN 6

Favorite

Under

8

MIA/MIA

MIA -6.5

33

MIA 24 – MIN 7

Favorite

Under

7

MIA/WAS

MIA -1

33

MIA 14 – WAS 7

Favorite

Under

6

DAL/MIA

DAL -6

34

DAL 24 – MIA 3

Favorite

Under

5

BAL/DAL

BAL -2.5

36

BAL 16 – DAL 13

Favorite

Under

4

KC/MIN

MIN -12

39

KC 23 – MIN 7

Underdog

Under

3

NYJ/BAL

BAL -18

40

NYJ 16 – BAL 7

Underdog

Under

2

GB/OAK

GB -13.5

43

GB 33 – OAK 14

Favorite

Over

1

GB/KC

GB -14

N/A

GB 35 – KC 10

Favorite

N/A

Super Bowl All-Time Betting Records

  • The most points ever scored by a single team in the Super Bowl is 55 (49ers, Super Bowl 24)
  • The most total points ever scored in a Super Bowl is 75 (49ers/Chargers, Super Bowl 29)
  • The fewest points ever scored by a single team in the Super Bowl is 3 (Dolphins, Super Bowl 6)
  • The fewest total points ever scored in a Super Bowl is 23 (Jets/Colts, Super Bowl 3)
  • The biggest point spread in Super Bowl history is -18.5 (49ers vs. Chargers, Super Bowl 29)
  • The smallest point spread in Super Bowl history is PK (Seahawks vs. Patriots, Super Bowl 49)
  • The highest total in Super Bowl history is 57.5 (Patriots vs. Falcons, Super Bowl 51)
  • The lowest total in Super Bowl history is 33 (four times)
  • The biggest upset in Super Bowl history was +18 (Jets, Super Bowl 3)
  • The biggest cover in ATS history was by 37.5 points (Seahawks, Super Bowl 48)
  • The biggest margin of victory in Super Bowl history was 45 (49ers, Super Bowl 24)

Super Bowl ATS Trends

  • Favored teams are 27-24-1 ATS in the Super Bowl
  • Favored teams are 33-18 SU in the Super Bowl
  • The Over is 27-24 in the Super Bowl
  • Underdog teams are 12-5 ATS since Super Bowl 36
  • The Under is 7-7 since Super Bowl 39
  • NFC teams are 27-25 in the Super Bowl

Team Records in the Super Bowl

Team

Appearances

SU Record

ATS Record

O/U Record

Arizona Cardinals

1

0-1

1-0

1-0

Atlanta Falcons

2

0-2

0-2

2-0

Baltimore Ravens

2

2-0

2-0

2-0

Buffalo Bills

4

0-4

0-4

2-2

Carolina Panthers

2

0-2

1-1

1-1

Chicago Bears

2

1-1

1-1

1-1

Cincinnati Bengals

2

0-2

1-1

0-2

Cleveland Browns

0

0-0

0-0

0-0

Dallas Cowboys

8

5-3

5-3

3-5

Denver Broncos

8

3-5

3-5

6-2

Detroit Lions

0

0-0

0-0

0-0

Green Bay Packers

5

4-1

3-1-1

4-0

Houston Texans

0

0-0

0-0

0-0

Indianapolis Colts

4

2-2

2-2

0-4

Jacksonville Jaguars

0

0-0

0-0

0-0

Kansas City Chiefs

2

1-1

1-1

0-1

Los Angeles Rams

3

1-2

0-2-1

1-2

Miami Dolphins

5

2-3

2-3

2-3

Minnesota Vikings

4

0-4

0-4

0-4

New England Patriots

9

5-4

3-5-1

5-4

New Orleans Saints

1

1-0

1-0

0-1

New York Giants

5

4-1

4-1

2-3

New York Jets

1

1-0

1-0

0-1

Oakland Raiders

5

3-2

3-2

3-2

Philadelphia Eagles

3

1—2

1—2

1—2

Pittsburgh Steelers

8

6-2

5-3

5-3

San Diego Chargers

1

0-1

0-1

1-0

Seattle Seahawks

3

1-2

1-2

2-1

San Francisco 49ers

6

5-1

4-2

4-2

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

1

1-0

1-0

1-0

Tennessee Titans

1

0-1

0-0-1

0-1

Washington Redskins

5

3-2

3-2

3-2

Team Trends

  • -The most appearances in the Super Bowl is 9 (Patriots)
  • -The fewest appearances in the Super Bowl is 0 (Jaguars, Texans, Lions, Browns)
  • -The most wins in the Super Bowl is 6 (Steelers)
  • -The most appearances in the Super Bowl without a loss is 2 (Ravens)
  • -The most appearances in the Super Bowl without a win is 4 (Vikings, Bills)
  • -The most Over games in the Super Bowl is 6 (Broncos)
  • -The most Under games in the Super Bowl is 5 (Cowboys)

Send this to friend