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North Florida Ospreys at Auburn Tigers ATS Preview 12/29/18

Shanna Lockwood-USA TODAY Sports

The No. 12 Auburn Tigers (10-2) welcome the North Florida Ospreys (5-8) to Auburn Arena as they attempt to lengthen their seven-game home winning streak. The game will air on SEC Network at 5 p.m. ET on Saturday, December 29, 2018.

North Florida Ospreys vs. Auburn Tigers ATS Prediction

In the Ospreys’ last outing, they were defeated by the Dayton Flyers, 78-70. One of Dayton’s largest strengths was getting to the free throw line. They had 27 free throw attempts, while North Florida had just 14. Noah Horchler was the top scorer from either team with 19 points on 7-for-11 shooting.

The Tigers had no trouble getting past the South Alabama Jaguars in their last game, 101-58. The Tigers had a much better turnover percentage (14.0 vs. 28.3) and had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (50.0 vs. 25.8). Jared Harper was Auburn’s high scorer with 20 points on 7-for-13 shooting from the field.

Both teams have had a player take their game to the next level over their last five games. Garrett Sams (0 points) has been stellar for the Ospreys while Bryce Brown (0 points) has made great contributions to the Tigers.

Auburn could have their way on the offensive side of the ball as their high-octane offense faces off against one of the worst defenses in the nation. The Tigers rank 25th in offensive efficiency, while North Florida ranks 272nd in defensive efficiency. Ball security could be troublesome for the Ospreys. They rank 334th at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 22.9 percent), while the Tigers force the most turnovers in the country (opponents’ turnover percentage of 27.6 percent).

North Florida Ospreys vs. Auburn Tigers Free Pick

Free Pick: SU Winner – Auburn, O/U – Under

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Notes

Betting Notes:

Auburn ranks 35th in assists per game (15.7) while North Florida ranks 214th in assists allowed per game (16.5).

The Tigers rank seventh in steals per game (9.6) while the Ospreys rank 171st in steals allowed per game (10.5).

Auburn ranks 53rd in rebounds per game (38.9) while North Florida ranks 199th in rebounds allowed per game (38.2).

The Ospreys rank 35th in three pointers allowed per game (19.5) while the Tigers rank 151st (23.7).

Auburn blocks 6.0 opponent shots per game, which is ranked sixth in the NCAA. North Florida ranks 41st in blocks allowed per game (2.7).

Bettings Trends:

The Ospreys’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 2.4, down from 4.1 for the season.

During their last five games, the Tigers have scored an average of 90.4 points per game (6.1 above their season average) and allowed an average of 66.6 points per game (0.8 above their season average).

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Written by GMS Previews

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