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Oakland Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox Betting Preview 05/14/18

Tim Heitman-USA TODAY Sports

The Boston Red Sox will play host to the Oakland Athletics at Fenway Park. NBC Sports – California will broadcast this AL matchup. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET.

Oakland Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox Odds

Vegas is listing Boston (-145) as the favorite over Oakland (+135). The total sits at nine runs and bettors can wager on either the over or the under for -110. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds sitting at -160 for the Athletics +1.5 runs and +140 for the Red Sox -1.5 runs.

The Athletics have gone 19-21 SU this year and are 18-21 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 0.8 units for gamblers taking the moneyline in this young season, despite having lost 6.0 units ATS. Oakland is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Red Sox, on the other hand, are 28-12 SU and 19-20 ATS. The team’s gained 9.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 2.1 units ATS. Boston has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.

Red Sox games have a 19-19-1 over/under record so far in 2018. Oakland has an over/under record of 20-17-2.

Sean Manaea will get the nod for the visiting Athletics. The left-handed Manaea is 4-4 with a 2.11 ERA and 45 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with 10 strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Boston this year (two starts).

The Red Sox are putting the ball in the right hand of Rick Porcello (5-0, 2.79 ERA, 0.95 WHIP), who’s got 49 strikeouts and eight walks this season. Porcello has yet to face the Athletics this year and did not record a start against them in 2017.

Boston’s pitchers have given up 3.8 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The club’s starters have an ERA of 3.55, a WHIP of 1.16 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.9. The bullpen has a 3.62 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 10.2 K/9.

Boston’s offense has produced 5.5 runs per outing, including 4.8 per game over its last 10 games and 4.8 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .258/.320/.441 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.

The Red Sox batters have been led by Mookie Betts and J.D. Martinez. Betts is hitting .360/.440/.772 with 13 home runs, 27 RBIs, 42 runs and seven stolen bases, while Martinez is batting .342 with 10 homers, 33 RBIs and 24 runs.

Betts enjoyed hitting against lefties at home last year, slashing .358/.421/.567 over 76 such plate appearances (compared to his overall season line of .264/.344/.459).

In the visiting dugout, Oakland’s pitching staff allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starters own a 4.65 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 7.78 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.93, along with a K/9 of 7.61.

Athletics hitters have slashed .248/.323/.417 on their way to 4.5 runs scored per game this season, including 3.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).

Jed Lowrie and Mark Canha have led Oakland’s hitters. Lowrie is slashing .340/.394/.579 with nine home runs, 36 RBIs and 17 runs scored, while Canha (.283/.340/.533) has produced six homers, 16 RBIs and 17 runs scored.

The Athletics have gained 0.6 units and are 10-14 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 15 of those games, compared to nine that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Red Sox have lost 0.3 units and are 3-6 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in three of those games, as opposed to six which went under the total.

Oakland Athletics at Boston Red Sox MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Athletics, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The Athletics have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.

The Oakland defense has allowed three errors over the last 10 games, compared to eight errors for Boston over its last 10.

The Athletics have lost five of their last six games SU.

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Written by GMS Previews

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