The No. 8 Texas Tech Red Raiders (15-4, 4-3 Big 12) welcome the Oklahoma State Cowboys (13-6, 3-4 Big 12) to United Supermarkets Arena as they look to lengthen their 12-game home winning streak. The game starts at 7 p.m. ET on Tuesday, January 23, 2018, and will air on ESPNews.
The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 143.5 points with Texas Tech set as a 10.5-point favorite.
Oklahoma State Cowboys at Texas Tech Red Raiders Betting Prediction
In the Cowboys’ last outing, they defeated the No. 4 Oklahoma Sooners, 83-81. Oklahoma State’s 0.457 effective field goal percentage was their largest strength over Oklahoma, who had a rate of 0.402. The Cowboys’ mark was below their season average of 0.510, while the Sooners’ was below their season average of 0.576. Oklahoma State was lifted by Jeffrey Carroll, who led the team in scoring with 23 points on 8-for-22 shooting.
The Red Raiders got blown out by the Iowa State Cyclones in their last game, 70-52. Iowa State’s 0.544 effective field goal percentage was their biggest advantage over Texas Tech, who had a rate of 0.390. The Cyclones’ mark was above their season average of 0.506, while the Red Raiders’ was below their season average of 0.539. Texas Tech’s Jarrett Culver recorded nine points and six rebounds in the contest.
The offensive glass should be a major advantage for Texas Tech in this matchup. The Red Raiders are among the nation’s elite on the offensive glass, ranking 50th in offensive rebounding percentage at 34.2 percent. Meanwhile, Oklahoma State ranks 283rd in the nation at corralling defensive rebounds with a defensive rebounding percentage of 68.5 percent.
Oklahoma State is 13-6 straight up (SU), but they have a difficult time covering the spread (6-10 against the spread (ATS)). Games featuring the Cowboys have a tendency to go under the projected point total (75.0 percent).
Meanwhile, Texas Tech is 15-4 SU and 8-7 ATS. Games featuring the Red Raiders also have a tendency to go under the projected point total (73.3 percent).
After the Cowboys won both matchups against the Red Raiders last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. In the most recent game, Oklahoma State won 80-63. The Cowboys made 22 of their 22 free throws (100.0 percent) and had a much better effective field goal percentage (0.592 vs. 0.426).
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders Odds Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Oklahoma State, ATS Winner – Oklahoma State, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
Oklahoma State is 1-5 ATS on the road with 4 unders and 2 overs.
At home, Texas Tech is 5-3 ATS with 6 unders and 2 overs.
Texas Tech ranks 20th in rebounds allowed per game (30.8) while Oklahoma State ranks 201st (36.9).
The Red Raiders rank seventh in assists allowed per game (9.4) while the Cowboys rank 106th (12.9).
Texas Tech ranks 22nd in steals per game (8.2) while Oklahoma State ranks 110th in steals allowed per game (6.4).
The Cowboys rank 66th in three pointers attempted per game (24.6) while the Red Raiders rank 131st in three pointers allowed per game (21.7).
Oklahoma State ranks 27th in blocks allowed per game (2.6) while Texas Tech ranks 59th (3.0).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Oklahoma State is 2-3 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Texas Tech is 1-4 ATS with 5 unders over their last five games.
The Cowboys have been outscored by an average of 1.6 points in their last five games. On the season, Oklahoma State has defeated opponents by an average of 6.9 points.
During their last five games, the Red Raiders have scored an average of 64.2 points per game (12.8 below their season average) and allowed an average of 68.2 points per game (6.6 above their season average).
