A defensive battle should be expected when the Baylor Bears (6-4) and the Oregon Ducks (8-3) face off at Ferrell Center. The game can be seen on ESPN2 at 7 p.m. ET on Friday, December 21, 2018.
Oregon Ducks vs. Baylor Bears ATS Prediction
The Ducks will be hoping for a similar outcome after blowing out the Portland State Vikings in their last contest, 84-57. One of Oregon’s largest strengths was getting to the charity stripe. They made 33 trips to the line, while Portland State went just 16 times. Oregon was led by Bol Bol, who had 12 points and 12 rebounds.
In the Bears’ last game, they let one slip away to the Texas Southern Tigers, 72-69. Texas Southern’s 0.250 free throw rate was their largest advantage over Baylor, who had a mark of 0.045. Baylor’s King McClure had a good game, leading both teams in scoring with 23 points on 10-for-18 shooting.
Half-court execution will be at a premium when two of the NCAA’s slowest-paced teams face off. Baylor currently ranks 285th in possessions per game (67.8) and Oregon is 310th (67.0). Also, the 24th-ranked defense of the Ducks (effective field goal percentage allowed of 0.439) will face off against the 259th-ranked offense of the Bears (effective field goal percentage of 0.494).
Both teams have had a player take their game to the next level over their last five games. Bol (0 points) has been fantastic for the Ducks while Tristan Clark (0 points) has made great contributions to the Bears.
Oregon Ducks at Baylor Bears Betting Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Baylor, ATS Winner – Oregon, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes:
Baylor ranks 102nd in three pointers allowed per game (21.5) while Oregon ranks 250th (28.7).
The Ducks rank 25th in blocks allowed per game (2.3) while the Bears rank 74th (3.2).
Oregon ranks 39th in steals allowed per game (5.5) while Baylor ranks 77th (6.1).
The Bears rank 43rd in assists allowed per game (11.2) while the Ducks rank 74th (12.2).
Oregon ranks 47th in rebounds allowed per game (32.2) while Baylor ranks 71st (33.2).
Bettings Trends:
The Ducks’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 15.8, up from 11.1 for the season.
During their last five games, the Bears have scored an average of 78.2 points per game (7.7 above their season average) and allowed an average of 67.4 points per game (4.0 above their season average).
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