The PGA Tour shifts to Silvis, Illinois for the annual John Deere Classic this week. There will be a renewed focus on the event after last year’s John Deere Classic was pushed out of the spotlight by golf’s return to the Olympics for Rio 2016. Ryan Moore will return to defend his title after winning at TPC Deere Run in 2016. This week’s tournament will once again mark the final stop on the PGA Tour before the golfers head across the Atlantic Ocean for next week’s Open Championship.
In terms of the field, it’s important to note that a number of the big names are playing on the European Tour this week for the Scottish Open. That includes Rory McIlroy and Rickie Fowler, so there is no clear-cut obvious pick here.
Event: John Deere Classic
Date: July 13-16
Location: TPC Deere Run, Silvis, Illinois
The TPC Deere Run is typically one of the lowest-scoring venues on the US portion of the PGA Tour. There has also been a focus on consistency here as the field scoring average hasn’t varied more than one-half stroke from the highest to the lowest since 2009. Last year’s 69.896 average on the par 71 marked the toughest the course has played during any of the last eight years.
Past Five Winners
2016: Ryan Moore -22
2015: Jordan Speith -20
2014: Brian Harman -22
2013: Jordan Speith -19
2012: Zach Johnson -20
What To Know About The Course
Each of the last eight winners of the John Deere Classic has recorded a final score of 19-under or better, including a pair of wins here by Jordan Spieth over that span. Spieth won’t compete at this year’s tournament but the field knows what to expect. TPC Deere Run is a lush parkland course with water hazards in play on only a few holes. Driving Accuracy will be important but the real keys to success will be Scrambling numbers and Putting statistics. Those that can consistently sink their putts should have a good shot at contending for the outright win this weekend.
Moore returns as the defending champion at this event but he won’t be the sports betting favorite by any means. Moore is listed at +3300 odds to repeat at the John Deere Classic. Meanwhile, Daniel Berger will be the favorite this week with most sportsbooks listing him at +1200 odds to win this event outright. Brian Harman is right behind him at +1400 odds, followed by Danny Lee at +1600 odds. Kevin Kisner, Charley Hoffman and Kyle Stanley round out the betting favorites for this week’s event. Meanwhile, Zach Johnson, Steve Stricker and Jamie Lovemark are all expected to be in the mix as well.
A Good Matchup To Bet: Danny Lee over Kevin Kisner
While Kisner has had some memorable performances over the past couple of months, he has also had some forgettable outings. That inconsistency has us electing to fade him this week with what we feel is a better matchup bet. Lee has risen 16 spots to 18th in Presidents Cup points with seven consecutive paydays, including four top-10 finishes over that span. Considering his upward trend and the fact he registered a T-3rd in his last appearance at the John Deere Classic in 2015, we are banking on a strong outing from Lee this week.
Top-Five Pick: Charley Hoffman
Hoffman is a decent value bet to win this tournament at +2200 odds and he should be a strong pick to finish in the top-five. Hoffman has already posted five top-10 finishes in 2017. That includes a solo eighth at the U.S. Open and a T-3rd at the Travelers Championship. Hoffman should be in the mix again this weekend as he continues to chase his next PGA title with another top-five finish at the John Deere Classic.
Odds To Win 2017 John Deere Classic
Daniel Berger +1050
Brian Harman +1650
Charley Hoffman +1850
Danny Lee +1550
Kevin Kisner +1850
Kyle Stanley +2050
Steve Stricker +2050
Zach Johnson +2250
Ryan Moore +3050
Charles Howell III +3050
Kevin Streelman +3050
Jamie Lovemark +3050
Bud Cauley +3550
Kevin Na +3550
Daniel Summerhays +3550
Robert Streb +4550
Ben Martin +4550
David Hearn +4550
Bubba Watson +4550
William McGirt +5050
Matt Jones +5050
Chez Reavie +5050
Bryson DeChambeau +4550
Kevin Tway +5500
Curtis Luck +6550
Johnson Wagner +5050
Chad Campbell +6550
Wesley Bryan +6550
Ollie Schniederjans +6550
Nick Watney +6550
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