Jeremy Brevard-USA TODAY Sports

Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants: Free Week 6 Betting Prediction

A couple of franchises that like to air it out, the New York Giants (+3) are set to host their NFC East rival Philadelphia Eagles (-3) in East Rutherford, N.J. The Thursday Night Football showdown kicks off at 8:20 p.m. ET and interested parties can watch the action live on FOX.

Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants Betting Preview

New York is a live dog and is currently getting 3 points in this NFC game. The Eagles are also receiving -150 moneyline odds while the Giants are +130. This NFC matchup should provide several decent live betting opportunities, and Vegas has set the over/under (O/U) at 44.5 points.

The game’s O/U has shifted downward after opening at 45. The original spread of 3 has remained firm.

The Eagles are 1-4 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 2.6 units so far. The team has posted an O/U record of 2-3. The Giants have lost 1.8 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 2-3 ATS and also have an O/U record of 2-3.

The Eagles are 2-3 straight up (SU) and the team has yet to face any NFC East opponents this year. The Giants are 1-4 SU overall and 0-1 SU against divisional foes.

Both teams enter the matchup having lost two straight. The Eagles came up short to Minnesota 23-21 in a Week 5 nailbiter where their secondary allowed the Vikings to air it out for 301 yards. Stefon Diggs had a productive day for the Vikings in that one with 91 yards on 10 catches. Offensively, Carson Wentz completed 24 passes for 311 yards and two touchdowns. Jay Ajayi (29 rushing yards on eight attempts) led the ground attack in the loss. Zach Ertz (10 receptions, 110 yards, one TD) and Nelson Agholor (four catches, 45 yards) handled the receiving duties.

In Week 5, Carolina knocked off this New York crew by a score of 33-31. The G-Men defense allowed the Panthers to kill the clock by rushing for 118 yards on 31 attempts. Christian McCaffrey had a good showing, recording 58 rushing yards on 17 attempts for Carolina. For New York, Eli Manning completed 22-of-36 passes for 326 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions. Saquon Barkley (48 yards on 15 rush attempts) led the ground game in the defeat while Odell Beckham Jr. (eight receptions, 131 yards, one TD) and Sterling Shepard (four catches, 75 yards) led the pass-catching attack.

Philadelphia’s run the ball on 37.9 percent of its offensive possessions this year while New York has a rush percentage of 34.3 percent. The Eagles have produced 111 rush yards/game (including 0 per game against East opponents) and have five scores via handoffs this year. The G-Men are averaging 76 rush yards per game (35 in conference) and have three total rushing TDs.

If 2018 numbers are any indication, then the Eagles may hold an advantage in terms of efficiency in the ground game. Their backfield has produced 4.4 yards per carry while their defense is allowing a YPC of 3.4 to opponents. The Giants have tallied 3.9 yards per carry and given up 4.6 yards per rush attempt to opponents.

The Eagles offense has tallied 276 yards per game through the air overall (0 per game versus conference opposition) and has six passing TDs so far. The G-Men have produced 288 pass yards per outing (279.0 against NFC foes) and have seven total pass scores.

Philadelphia has allowed opponents to run for an average of 66 yards and pass for 292 yards per game. The New York defense has given up 237.0 yards per game to opposing passers and 124.4 yards per game to opposing runners. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to opponents, as the Eagles have given up an ANY/A of 6.74 to opposing QBs, while the G-Men are yielding an ANY/A of 6.28.

Offensively, Wentz is up to 566 passing yards this year, and has completed 68 percent of his 72 attempts with three passing scores and one interception. He’s got a 6.56 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 7.37 over the last two games.

On the other sideline, Eli Manning has completed 103-of-146 passes for 1,126 yards, five TDs and three INTs. Manning’s ANY/A sits at 6.19 for the year and 6.53 over his last two games.

RELATED: Week 6 NFL Betting Odds and Predictions 

Free Betting Pick: Eagles at Giants

SU Winner – Eagles, ATS Winner – Eagles, O/U – Over

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Notes

Betting Notes

New York has lost five fumbles this season while Philadelphia has let seven get away.

The Philadelphia D has twice as many sacks as New York this year (12 to six).

Philadelphia has averaged 4.72972972972973 yards per rush attempt across its last three games and 5.1 over its last two.

New York has averaged 3.9 yards per carry over its last three contests and 3.7 over its last two.

In its last three games, New York is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

Philadelphia was favored by 4 points in its last game and the O/U was 48.5. The under cashed and Philadelphia failed to cover in the 23-21 defeat to Minnesota.

Over its last three contests, Philadelphia is 0-3 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

New York was favored by 7 points in its last matchup and the Over/Under was 43.5. The over cashed and New York did not cover in the team’s 33-31 defeat to Carolina.

Philadelphia has lost four of its last five games SU, with a four-point victory over Indianapolis on September 23rd accounting for the only win over that span.

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Summary
Eagles vs. Giants betting preview 10/11/18
Article Name
Eagles vs. Giants betting preview 10/11/18
Description
A couple of franchises that like to air it out, the New York Giants (+3) are set to host their NFC East rival Philadelphia Eagles (-3) in East Rutherford, N.J. The Thursday Night Football showdown kicks off at 8:20 p.m. ET and interested parties can watch the action live on FOX.
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