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Philadelphia Eagles vs. Washington Redskins – Free Week 17 Betting Pick

Eric Hartline-USA TODAY Sports

In the final week of the NFL regular season, the Washington Redskins are getting 6.5 points when they play host to their NFC East rival Philadelphia Eagles to FedEx Field. This late afternoon matchup is scheduled to get going at 4:25 p.m. ET and FOX will televise the action.

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Washington Redskins Betting Preview

Washington is a live dog and is currently getting 6.5 points in this NFC game. The Eagles are also receiving -260 moneyline odds while the Redskins are +220. If one side can create a bunch of points in the early stages it’ll generate a reasonable live betting opportunity. Oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 41.5 points.

Sharp bettors have been hammering the under. The game’s total initially opened at 42.5.

The Eagles have recorded 0.6 units so far in 2018 and are 5-9-1 against the spread (ATS). They’ve been a decent under bet and have posted an O/U mark of 6-8-1. The Redskins have lost 0.6 units this season. The team is 9-6 ATS and has an O/U record of 7-8.

The Eagles have gone 8-7 straight up (SU), including 3-2 SU against NFC East opponents. The Redskins are 7-8 SU overall and 2-3 SU against divisional foes.

The Eagles are coming off a 32-30 win over Houston in Week 16. Nick Foles completed 35 passes on 49 attempts for 471 yards, four touchdowns and one interception. Josh Adams (just 21 yards on 11 rush attempts) led the ground attack while Zach Ertz (12 receptions, 110 yards, two TDs) and Nelson Agholor (five catches, 116 yards, one TD) handled the receiving duties in the win.

In Week 16, Tennessee knocked off this Washington crew by a score of 25-16. Josh Johnson completed 13-of-23 passes for 153 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions. Adrian Peterson (119 rushing yards on 26 attempts) led the running game as Jamison Crowder (five receptions, 78 yards) and Doctson (three catches, 30 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.

Philadelphia has run the ball on 39.2 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Washington has a rush percentage of 45.5 percent. The Eagles have run for 96 yards/game (including 94 per game against East opponents) and have 12 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Redskins are logging 117 rush yards per game (116 in conference) and have 12 total rushing TDs.

The Eagles offense has tallied 285 yards/game through the air overall (282 per game versus conference opposition) and has 26 passing TDs so far. The Redskins have put up 213 pass yards per contest (201.4 against NFC foes) and have 16 total pass scores.

Philadelphia has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 102 yards and pass for 301 yards per game. The Washington defense has allowed 256.5 yards per game to opposing passers and 115.4 yards per game on the ground. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to the opposition, as the Eagles have given up an ANY/A of 6.70 to opposing QBs, while the Redskins are yielding an ANY/A of 6.25.

Offensively, Foles has amassed 922 passing yards this year, and has completed 68 percent of his 131 attempts with five scores through the air and two interceptions. He has a 6.55 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 8.91 over the last two games.

We expect the Philadelphia offense to mix it up in this one. Alshon Jeffery (624 receiving yards, five receiving touchdowns this season), Darren Sproles (66 rush yards, one rush TD, 132 receiving yards, two receiving TDs) and Zach Ertz (1,126 receiving yards, eight TDs) have all played key roles recently.

Josh Johnson has completed 24-of-39 passes for 348 yards, two TDs and three INTs for Washington. His ANY/A stands at 5.63 for the season and 4.09 across his past two outings.

We also expect the Washington offense to spread its attack this Sunday. Adrian Peterson (991 rushing yards, seven rush TDs, one receiving touchdown on the year), Jamison Crowder (335 receiving yards, two receiving TDs) and Josh Johnson (67 rush yards, one rush TD, zero receiving yards) have combined for 393 total yards the last two games.

RELATED: Week 17 NFL Betting Odds and Predictions 

Betting Prediction: Philadelphia Eagles vs. Washington Redskins

SU Winner – Redskins, ATS Winner – Redskins, O/U – Under

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Notes

Team Betting Notes

The O/U for Philadelphia’s last game going into it was 47. The over cashed in the team’s 32-30 triumph over Houston.

As a team, Philadelphia has averaged 3.1 yards per rush attempt across its last three contests and 3.2 over its last two.

Washington has averaged 4.0 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 4.0 over its last two.

Washington has lost four fumbles this season while Philadelphia has let 12 get away.

Over its last three matches, Philadelphia is 1-1-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

Philadelphia has won five of its last six games SU, with a six-point loss to Dallas on December 9th accounting for the only defeat over that span.

The Over/Under for Washington’s last match was 38. The over cashed in the 25-16 loss to Tennessee.

Over its last three matches, Washington is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

The Eagles offense has produced nine pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Redskins have accounted for five such plays.

The Philadelphia defense has allowed six pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Washington has given up eight such plays.

The Philadelphia offense has created seven rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Washington has created six such runs.

The Eagles defense has allowed 13 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Redskins have given up six such runs.

The Washington defense has sacked opposing quarterbacks 43 times this year. Philadelphia has recorded 40 sacks.

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Written by GMS Previews

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