The Philadelphia Phillies will take on the Los Angeles Dodgers at Dodger Stadium. The opening pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET and NBC Sports Philadelphia will broadcast this NL matchup.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Odds
Oddsmakers have listed Los Angeles (-165) as the favorite over Philadelphia (+155). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -105 for over 8 runs and -115 for under 8. Gamblers can also bet on the game’s spread with the runline odds standing at -140 for the Phillies +1.5 runs and +120 for the Dodgers -1.5.
The Dodgers are 25-29 SU and 21-32 ATS. The team’s lost 21.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 12.6 units against the spread (ATS). Los Angeles has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Phillies are 30-22 SU and have gone 24-27 ATS. In total, the team’s gained 4.8 units for moneyline gamblers, but have lost 4.9 units ATS. Philadelphia is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.
Neither team has been a strong over/under bet this year. Los Angeles games have had an over/under record of 26-26-1 so far in 2018. Philadelphia has an over/under record of 23-25-3.
Right-hander Zach Eflin is projected to start for Philadelphia. Eflin is 1-1 with a 3.27 ERA and 24 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Dodgers this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-0, 2.57 ERA and four strikeouts over seven innings).
The Dodgers will turn to righty Ross Stripling (2-1, 1.74 ERA) to the mound. Stripling has 50 punchouts and nine walks to his credit, as well as a 1.19 WHIP. Stripling did not record a start against the Phillies in 2017.
Philadelphia’s pitching staff allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starters own a 3.25 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 8.98 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.56, along with a WHIP of 1.19 and a K-per-9 of 9.19.
The Phillies offense has slashed .237/.324/.397 on its way to 4.5 runs scored per game this season, including 3.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Philadelphia’s offensive production been led by right fielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez, who collectively have swatted 14 home runs. Herrera is slashing .328/.393/.508 with seven home runs, 32 RBIs and 25 runs scored, while Hernandez (.269/.380/.431) has produced seven homers, 20 RBIs, 38 runs and 10 stolen bases.
In the home-team dugout, Los Angeles’ pitching staff has allowed 3.9 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have a 3.36 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and 10.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.01 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 9.4 K/9.
The Los Angeles hitters have produced 4.3 runs per outing, including 4.2 per game over its last 10 games and 4.2 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .244/.305/.388 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.
Outfielders Matt Kemp and Chris Taylor have led the Dodgers’ offense this year. Kemp is hitting .341/.371/.530 with six home runs, 26 RBIs and 18 runs scored, and Taylor’s line is .243/.331/.438 with seven homers, 19 RBIs and 36 runs.
Taylor appeared to take a step back when facing right-handed pitching at home last season. Across 193 such plate appearances, he slashed .236/.295/.416 (compared to his total season line of .288/.354/.496).
The Phillies have gained 1.0 units and are 17-20 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 17 of those games, as opposed to 18 that’ve gone under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Dodgers have lost 21.3 units and are 11-23 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 23 of those games, compared to 11 that’ve gone under.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Dodgers, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Notes
Los Angeles has posted 18.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 19.8 over its last five.
The Phillies have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.
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