The Pittsburgh Pirates will try to avoid losing their fourth in a row as they play host to the Philadelphia Phillies at PNC Park. This NL matchup starts at 7:05 p.m. ET and you can watch the game on both ATPT and NSPA.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Odds
Vegas is listing Philadelphia (-110) as the favorite over Pittsburgh (+100). The total sits at 8.5 runs and bettors can take the over for -115 or the under for -105. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds coming in at Phillies -1.5 runs (+135) and Pirates +1.5 runs (-155).
The Phillies are 47-37 SU and have gone 37-47 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 10.7 units for moneyline bettors, despite having lost 17.6 units ATS. Philadelphia has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in six of those seven. The Pirates, on the other hand, are 40-46 SU and 39-47 ATS. The team has lost 8.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 10.7 units ATS. Pittsburgh has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.
Pirates games have a 42-37-7 over/under record so far in 2018. The Phillies have been a decent under bet with a total record of 37-43-4.
Right-hander Nick Pivetta is the projected starter for the visiting Phils. Pivetta is 5-7 with a 4.66 ERA and 104 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with seven strikeouts and a 2.84 ERA against Pittsburgh this year.
The Pirates are handing the ball to righty Trevor Williams (6-6, 4.22 ERA), who’s got 68 punchouts and 30 walks, as well as a 1.20 WHIP. Williams is 0-0 with seven strikeouts and a 3.00 ERA in one start against Philadelphia this year.
Pittsburgh’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game overall this season as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 4.43, a WHIP of 1.30 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.6. The bullpen has a 4.31 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 9.7 K/9.
The Pittsburgh offense has put up 4.4 runs per outing, including 3.8 per game over its last 10 games and 3.6 per game over its last five. The team has hit .232/.271/.417 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that span.
The Pirates’ hitters have been led by outfielders Corey Dickerson and Starling Marte. Dickerson is hitting .303/.338/.449 with six home runs, 33 RBIs and 35 runs scored, while Marte is batting .265 with nine homers, 36 RBIs, 44 runs and 18 stolen bases.
In the other dugout, Philadelphia’s pitching staff allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starters own a 3.78 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 9.10 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.15, along with a K-per-9 of 9.57.
The Phillies offense has slashed .233/.320/.394 on its way to 4.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).
Right fielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez continue to lead Philadelphia’s hitters. Herrera is slashing .276/.330/.463 with 14 home runs, 47 RBIs and 42 runs scored, while Hernandez (.263/.375/.381) is up to eight homers, 28 RBIs, 58 runs and 13 steals.
The Phillies have gained 9.6 units and are 28-35 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 27 of those games, compared to 33 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Pirates have lost 0.5 units and are 30-33 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 27 of those games, compared to 29 that went under the total.
Philadelphia Phillies at Pittsburgh Pirates Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Pirates, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The under has hit in just one of Pittsburgh’s last seven games.
The Phillies have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.
Pittsburgh has averaged 20.2 runs + hits + errors over its last 10 contests and 19.2 over its last five.
The Phillies have won six of their last seven games SU while the Pirates have lost four of their last five.
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