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Philadelphia Phillies at Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview 08/26/18

Nick Turchiaro-USA TODAY Sports

The Philadelphia Phillies are ready to face off against the Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre. RSN Sports will be showing this interleague matchup and the action gets underway at 1:07 p.m. ET.

Philadelphia Phillies at Toronto Blue Jays Odds

Philadelphia (-115) is favored against Toronto (+105) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this afternoon’s game at 9 runs. Odds for betting on the game’s total sit at -120 for the under and +100 for the over. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds coming in at Phillies -1.5 runs (+130) and Blue Jays +1.5 runs (-150).

The Blue Jays are 60-69 straight up (SU) and 55-73 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 7.7 units for moneyline bettors and 27.3 units (ATS). The Phillies are 69-60 SU and have gone 63-65 ATS. In total, the team’s gained 8.2 units for moneyline bettors, but have lost 11.1 units ATS.

Toronto games have a 65-55-8 over/under record in 2018. The Phillies have been a good under bet with a total record of 55-68-5.

Vince Velasquez is getting the start for Philadelphia. The right-handed Velasquez is 8-9 with a 4.06 ERA and 136 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Blue Jays this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Blue Jays are turning to righty Marco Estrada (7-9, 4.88 ERA), who has 87 punchouts and 36 walks to his credit as well as a WHIP of 1.30. Estrada did not record a start against the Phillies in 2017.

As a unit, Toronto’s pitchers have allowed 5.1 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starters have an ERA of 5.02, a WHIP of 1.43 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.7. The bullpen has a 4.39 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 9.2 K/9.

The Toronto offense has produced 4.5 runs per contest, including 5.2 per game over its last 10 games and 6.2 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .256/.329/.564 over its last five games and is 5-0 SU during that span.

First baseman Justin Smoak and outfielder Kevin Pillar have paced the Blue Jays’ offense this year. Smoak is slashing .249/.357/.456 with 19 home runs, 61 RBIs and 56 runs scored, while Pillar’s line is .255/.283/.421 with 10 homers, 49 RBIs, 53 runs and 13 steals.

In the visiting dugout, Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starters own a 3.80 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 8.78 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.11, along with a WHIP of 1.22.

The Phillies offense has slashed .237/.317/.395 on its way to 4.3 runs scored per game this year, including 4.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).

Philadelphia’s hitters have been paced by second baseman Cesar Hernandez and right fielder Odubel Herrera, who’ve collectively blasted 31 home runs. Hernandez is hitting .261/.367/.368 with 11 home runs, 40 RBIs, 80 runs and 16 stolen bases, while Herrera (.268/.322/.445) is up to 20 homers, 64 RBIs and 56 runs scored.

The Phillies have gained 9.2 units and are 49-49 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 41 of those games, compared to 53 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Blue Jays have netted 7.3 units and are 37-47 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 44 of those games, compared to 36 that went under the total.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Blue Jays, ATS Winner – Blue Jays, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The over has hit in three of Philadelphia’s last seven games.

The Phillies have dropped six of their last seven games SU.

Philadelphia fielders have 11 errors over the last 10 games, compared to five errors for Toronto over its last 10.

The Phillies have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games. The Blue Jays have hit 15 over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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