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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles Free Pick 05/15/18

Evan Habeeb-USA TODAY Sports

The Baltimore Orioles are playing host to the Philadelphia Phillies at Oriole Park. This interleague matchup will get underway at 7:05 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will televise the game.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles Odds

Baltimore (+105) is coming into this one as the underdog against Philadelphia (-115) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this night game at 9.5 runs (-110 for the over and -110 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds sitting at Phillies -1.5 runs (+130) and Orioles 1.5 runs (-150).

The Orioles are 13-28 SU and 17-24 ATS. The team has lost 14.7 units for moneyline bettors and 7.0 units against the spread (ATS). Baltimore has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Phillies, on the other hand, have gone 23-16 SU this year and are 18-21 ATS. In total, the team’s accumulated 5.0 units for moneyline gamblers in the season’s early going, but have lost 5.2 units ATS. Philadelphiahas covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.

Baltimore games have a 20-20-1 over/under record thus far in 2018. Philadelphia has an over/under record of 18-18-3.

Nick Pivetta will get the start for the visiting Phillies. The right-handed Pivetta is 2-2 with a 4.15 ERA and 42 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Orioles this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Orioles are putting the ball in the right hand of Andrew Cashner (1-4, 4.84 ERA, 1.50 WHIP), who has 40 punchouts and 21 walks. Cashner only made one start against the Phillies in 2017 (1-0, 2.57 ERA and two strikeouts across seven innings).

As a unit, Baltimore’s pitching staff has given up 5.6 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have an ERA of 5.46, a WHIP of 1.55 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.5. The bullpen has a 4.57 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 8.4 K/9.

Baltimore’s hitters are putting up 4.2 runs per outing, including 6.3 per game over its last 10 games and 9.2 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .309/.363/.646 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that span.

Shortstop Manny Machado and outfielder Trey Mancini have led the way for the Orioles’ hitters so far. Machado is slashing .350/.431/.669 with 13 home runs, 38 RBIs and 25 runs scored, and Mancini is batting .275 with six homers, 16 RBIs and 25 runs.

Machado seemed to enjoy hitting righties at home last year. Over 265 such plate appearances, he slashed .286/.355/.534 (compared to his overall season line of .260/.311/.473).

In the other dugout, Philadelphia’s pitching staff allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starters own a 3.53 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 8.52 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.35, along with a WHIP of 1.20.

The Phillies offense has slashed .242/.334/.400 on its way to 4.7 runs scored per game this season, including 5.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).

Outfielders Odubel Herrera and Rhys Hoskins have led Philadelphia’s offense. Herrera is slashing .360/.430/.561 with six home runs, 24 RBIs and 23 runs scored, while Hoskins is hitting .268/.414/.472 with five homers, 25 RBIs and 22 runs scored.

The Phillies have gained 2.2 units and are 12-16 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 13 of those games, as opposed to 13 that’ve gone under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Orioles have lost 10.4 units and are 11-16 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 12 of those games, compared to 15 that’ve gone under.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Orioles, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The Phillies have hit 17 home runs in their last 10 games. The Orioles have hit 21 over their last 10.

The Philadelphia defense has allowed two errors over the last 10 games, compared to 11 errors for Baltimore over its last 10.

The Phillies have won five of their last six games SU while the Orioles have won five of their last six SU.

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Written by GMS Previews

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