Thursday, August 16, 2018
Steve Mitchell-USA TODAY Sports

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins Free Preview 07/15/18

The Philadelphia Phillies will be taking on their division rival Miami Marlins at Marlins Park. The game gets underway 1:10 p.m. ET and Fox SportsNet Florida is in line to broadcast the matchup.

Philadelphia Phillies at Miami Marlins Odds

Oddsmakers have listed Miami (+115) as the underdog to Philadelphia (-125). Gamblers can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -125 for over 7.5 runs and +105 for under 7.5. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds standing at +120 for the Phillies -1.5 runs and -140 for the Marlins +1.5.

The Phillies have gone 53-41 SU this year and are 42-51 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 13.8 units for moneyline gamblers, despite having lost 16.9 units ATS. Philadelphia is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Marlins, on the other hand, are 40-57 SU and 51-45 ATS. They’ve gained 1.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 4.0 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

Marlins games have a 49-45-2 over/under record so far in 2018. Philadelphia has been a decent under bet with a total record of 39-49-5.

Enyel De Los Santos will get the nod for the visiting Phillies. De Los Santos (1-0, 4.26 ERA) has racked up six punchouts in 6.1 innings so far. He has yet to face the Marlins this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Marlins are turning to righty Jose Urena (2-9, 4.13 ERA), who has 85 strikeouts and 24 walks to his credit as well as a 1.19 WHIP. Urena is 0-1 with six strikeouts and a 1.29 ERA in one start against Philadelphia this year.

Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.67 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 8.98 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.98, along with a WHIP of 1.20.

Phillies hitters have slashed .237/.322/.391 on their way to 4.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Right fielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez continue to lead Philadelphia’s offense. Herrera is slashing .276/.327/.460 with 16 home runs, 52 RBIs and 46 runs scored, while Hernandez is hitting .270 with eight homers, 28 RBIs, 63 runs and 14 steals.

In the home-team dugout, Miami’s pitchers have allowed 5.0 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starters have an ERA of 4.62, a WHIP of 1.34 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.7. The bullpen has a 4.88 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 8.4 K/9. In 31 games against divisional foes, Marlins starters have an ERA of 4.12 and the bullpen’s ERA is 7.07.

The Miami hitters are putting up 3.8 runs per contest, including 3.7 per game against divisional foes and 3.0 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .223/.314/.307 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

Second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson have led the Marlins’ batters this year. Castro is hitting .289/.337/.408 with seven home runs, 37 RBIs and 57 runs scored, while Anderson’s line sits at .284/.360/.416 with seven homers, 46 RBIs and 53 runs.

The Phillies have gained 11.7 units and are 32-39 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 29 of those games, compared to 38 that’ve gone under against y starters.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

Philadelphia has recorded 10 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Miami has seven XBH over its last five.

Miami has recorded 23.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 17.8 over its last five.

The Phillies have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Marlins have hit 10 over their last 10.

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Summary
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Phillies vs. Marlins
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