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Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals Betting Preview 05/06/18

Tommy Gilligan-USA TODAY Sports

The Washington Nationals are set to host their division rival Philadelphia Phillies at Nationals Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 1:35 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will be showing the matchup.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals Odds

Washington (-175) is the favorite against Philadelphia (+165) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this afternoon’s game at 7 runs (+105 for the under and -125 for the over). The game’s current runline odds stand at -135 for betting the Phillies +1.5 runs and +115 for the Nationals -1.5 runs.

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The Nationals are 17-17 SU and 17-16 ATS. The team has lost 5.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 1.8 units against the spread (ATS). The Phillies are 18-14 SU and have gone 11-20 ATS. Overall, the team’s gained 1.1 units for moneyline gamblers through the early part of the season, but have lost 12.7 units ATS.

Nationals games have an over/under record of 15-16-2 so far in 2018. The Phillies have an over/under record of 15-13-3.

Jake Arrieta will get the start for Philadelphia. The right-handed Arrieta is 3-1 with a 3.49 ERA and 20 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Nationals this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-1, 11.25 ERA and four strikeouts over four innings).

The Nationals are turning to righty Max Scherzer (6-1, 1.79 ERA), who’s got 65 strikeouts and 11 walks to his credit as well as a 0.82 WHIP. Scherzer made three starts against the Phillies in 2017, compiling a spotless 2-0 record with a 4.34 ERA and 22 strikeouts.

Washington’s pitching staff has allowed 4.0 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The team’s starters have a 3.25 ERA, 1.10 WHIP and 9.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.54 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 9.6 K/9. In 14 divisional games, Nationals starters have an ERA of 3.70 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.83.

The Washington offense is putting up 4.6 runs per outing, including 4.2 per game against divisional foes and 6.4 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .245/.348/.503 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

Bryce Harper has helped lead the Nationals’ offense this year with 12 home runs, 28 RBIs and 29 runs scored.

In the visiting dugout, Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starters own a 4.12 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 8.03 K/9. The bullpen has logged a solid ERA of just 2.94, along with a K-per-9 of 9.05.

The Phillies offense has slashed .234/.326/.378 on its way to 4.5 runs scored per game this year, including 4.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Philadelphia’s hitters have been led by Rhys Hoskins. Hoskins is slashing .286/.437/.514 with five home runs, 22 RBIs and 18 runs scored.

The Phillies are looking for another victory following a 3-1 win in the prior game of this series.

Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The over has cashed in three of Washington’s last seven games.

The Phillies have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.

The Philadelphia defense has allowed zero errors over its last five games, compared to three errors for Washington over its last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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