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Pittsburgh Pirates at Chicago White Sox Free Pick 05/09/18

Kamil Krzaczynski-USA TODAY Sports

The Pittsburgh Pirates are ready to play the Chicago White Sox at Guaranteed Rate Field. This interleague matchup will begin at 2:10 p.m. ET and fans looking to watch it can tune in to NBC Sports Chicago.

Pittsburgh Pirates at Chicago White Sox Odds

Pittsburgh (-125) is coming into this one as the favorite over Chicago (+115) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this one at 9 runs (-110 for the over and -110 for the under). You can also bet on the game’s runline with the odds standing at +120 for the Pirates -1.5 runs and -140 for the White Sox +1.5 runs.

The White Sox are only 9-24 SU and 16-16 ATS. The team’s lost 12.9 units for moneyline bettors and 3.4 units against the spread (ATS). Chicago has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Pirates have gone 20-16 SU this year and are 19-16 ATS. In total, the team’s accumulated 2.1 units for moneyline gamblers in the season’s early going and 3.3 units ATS. Pittsburgh is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has cashed in three of those seven.

Chicago games have an over/under record of 15-15-2 so far in 2018. Pirates games have gone over 17 times, gone under 13 times and pushed on five occasions.

The right-handed Trevor Williams is projected to start for the visiting Pirates. Williams is 4-2 with a 2.63 ERA and 26 strikeouts. He has yet to face the White Sox this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The White Sox will put the ball in the right hand of Reynaldo Lopez (0-2, 2.43 ERA), who has 25 strikeouts and 17 walks this season as well as a 1.22 WHIP. Lopez did not record a start against the Pirates in 2017.

As a unit, Chicago’s pitchers have given up 5.6 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have a 5.69 ERA, 1.53 WHIP and 5.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.58 ERA, 1.58 WHIP and 9.0 K/9.

Chicago’s hitters are putting up 4.0 runs per outing, including 4.1 per game over its last 10 games and 4.6 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .256/.298/.476 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.

The White Sox hitters have been led by Matt Davidson and Yoan Moncada. Davidson is slashing .260/.376/.567 with nine home runs, 19 RBIs and 16 runs scored, and Moncada’s line is .263/.359/.509 with six homers, 15 RBIs and 17 runs.

For the visiting squad, Pittsburgh’s pitching staff allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starters own a 4.14 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 7.20 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.23, along with a WHIP of 1.24 and a K/9 of 9.79.

Pirates hitters have slashed .259/.332/.416 on their way to 4.9 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Outfielder Corey Dickerson and catcher Francisco Cervelli have led Pittsburgh’s offense. Dickerson is slashing .333/.371/.550 with five home runs, 26 RBIs and 20 runs scored, while Cervelli is slashing .302/.400/.552 with five homers, 22 RBIs and 14 runs scored.

The Pirates have gained 1.5 units and are 16-14 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 12 of those games, compared to 13 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the White Sox have lost 9.2 units and are 12-12 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 10 of those games, as opposed to 12 which went under the total.

Pittsburgh Pirates at Chicago White Sox MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Pirates, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The White Sox have lost eight of their last nine games SU.

Chicago has posted 21.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 21.8 over its last five.

The Pirates have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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