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Pittsburgh Pirates at Cleveland Indians Betting Preview 07/25/18

Benny Sieu-USA TODAY Sports

The Pittsburgh Pirates will be taking on the Cleveland Indians at Progressive Field. This interleague matchup will get going at 1:10 p.m. ET and fans looking to watch it can tune in to SportsTime Ohio.

Pittsburgh Pirates at Cleveland Indians Odds

Oddsmakers are listing Cleveland (-170) as the favorite over Pittsburgh (+160). The total sits at 8.5 runs and bettors can take the over or the under for -110. The game’s current runline odds sit at -135 for betting the Pirates +1.5 runs and +115 for the Indians -1.5.

The Indians are 54-46 straight up (SU) and 47-52 against the spread (ATS). The team’s lost 14.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 10.3 units (ATS). Cleveland has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in three of those seven. The Pirates are 53-49 SU and have gone 50-51 ATS. In total, the team’s accumulated 1.9 units for moneyline bettors, but have lost 2.5 units ATS. Pittsburgh has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.

Indians games have had an over/under record of 52-43-4 in 2018. The Pirates have an over/under record of 48-46-7.

Jameson Taillon will get the start for the visiting Pirates. The right-handed Taillon (7-7, 3.80 ERA) has recorded 109 strikeouts in 111.1 innings so far. He has yet to face the Indians this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Indians will put the ball in the right hand of Trevor Bauer (8-6, 2.44 ERA, 1.15 WHIP), who’s got 182 strikeouts and 47 walks this season. Bauer did not record a start against the Pirates in 2017.

Pittsburgh’s pitching staff allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starters own a 4.20 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 7.56 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.24, along with a WHIP of 1.28 and a K/9 of 10.02.

Pirates hitters have slashed .256/.324/.420 on their way to 4.6 runs scored per game this season, including 7.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 8.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (5-0 SU).

Pittsburgh’s hitters have been paced by outfielders Corey Dickerson and Starling Marte. Dickerson is hitting .318/.351/.517 with 11 home runs, 44 RBIs and 50 runs scored, while Marte has a .292 average with 16 homers, 54 RBIs, 57 runs and 25 stolen bases.

For the home team, Cleveland’s pitchers have allowed 4.4 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have an ERA of 3.59, a WHIP of 1.17 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.3. The bullpen has a 5.22 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 8.7 K/9.

The Cleveland offense has put up 5.2 runs per outing, including 6.7 per game over its last 10 games and 5.8 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .311/.374/.528 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Indians’ hitters have been led by shortstop Francisco Lindor and third baseman Jose Ramirez. Lindor is hitting .291/.367/.559 with 25 home runs, 63 RBIs, 87 runs and 15 stolen bases, and Ramirez’s line is .299/.402/.628 with 30 homers, 73 RBIs, 70 runs and 20 stolen bases.

The Pirates have gained 6.8 units and are 38-37 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 32 of those games, compared to 36 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Indians have lost 18.5 units and are 32-40 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 37 of those games, compared to 32 which went under the total.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Indians Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The over has cashed in three of Pittsburgh’s last seven games.

The Pirates have won 13 of their last 14 games SU.

Pittsburgh has recorded 29.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 35.4 over its last five.

The Pirates have hit 22 home runs in their last 10 games, including 13 over their last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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