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Pittsburgh Pirates at Los Angeles Dodgers Free Pick 07/02/18

Matt Marton-USA TODAY Sports

The Pittsburgh Pirates will head west to face the Los Angeles Dodgers at Dodger Stadium. This NL showdown begins at 10:10 p.m. ET and you can catch it on both ATPT and SNLA.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Odds

The Dodgers are 44-39 straight up (SU) and 35-47 against the spread (ATS). The team’s lost 20.3 units for moneyline bettors and 11.3 units (ATS). The Pirates are 40-43 SU and have gone 38-44 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 6.8 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 8.5 units ATS.

Neither squad has been an obvious over/under bet this season. Dodgers games have had an over/under record of 41-39-2 so far in 2018. The Pirates have an over/under record of 38-37-7.

The right-handed Nick Kingham will get the nod for Pittsburgh. Kingham (2-3, 3.82 ERA) has racked up 35 strikeouts in 35.1 innings so far. He has yet to face the Dodgers this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Dodgers are sending lefty Alex Wood (4-5, 4.00 ERA) to the mound. Wood has 81 strikeouts and 16 walks to his name, as well as a 1.16 WHIP. Wood made two starts against the Pirates in 2017, compiling a 1-0 record with a 2.45 ERA and 16 strikeouts.

Los Angeles’ pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The team’s starters have an ERA of 3.42, a WHIP of 1.16 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.7. The bullpen has a 3.95 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 9.1 K/9.

The Los Angeles offense has produced 4.7 runs per outing, including 4.7 per game over its last 10 games and 4.0 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .245/.324/.429 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Outfielders Matt Kemp and Chris Taylor have led the Dodgers’ offense this year. Kemp is slashing .310/.348/.541 with 14 home runs, 51 RBIs and 35 runs scored, and Taylor’s line is .247/.331/.447 with nine homers, 30 RBIs and 48 runs.

In the visiting dugout, Pittsburgh’s pitchers have allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starters own a 4.22 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 7.65 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.14, along with a WHIP of 1.27 and a K/9 of 9.68.

The Pirates offense has slashed .248/.321/.403 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game this season, including 3.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Outfielders Corey Dickerson and Starling Marte continue to lead Pittsburgh’s hitters. Dickerson is slashing .296/.332/.446 with six home runs, 33 RBIs and 35 runs scored, while Marte (.263/.314/.438) has produced nine homers, 34 RBIs, 43 runs and 18 stolen bases.

The Pirates have lost 5.3 units and are 9-11 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 12 of those games, as opposed to eight that’ve gone under against lefty starters. On the other hand, the Dodgers have lost 18.8 units and are 21-31 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 33 of those games, compared to 18 that’ve gone under.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Dodgers, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – UNDER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The under has cashed in three of Los Angeles’ last seven games.

The Pirates have won three of their last four games SU.

Pittsburgh fielders have 11 errors over the last 10 games, compared to five errors for Los Angeles over its last 10.

The Pirates have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games, including five over their last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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