Pittsburgh Pirates at San Francisco Giants Odds
Oddsmakers have listed Pittsburgh (+115) as the underdog to San Francisco (-125). The total stands at eight runs and bettors can take either the over or the under for -110. The game’s runline odds sit at -180 for taking the Pirates +1.5 runs and +160 for the Giants -1.5.
The Giants are 57-57 straight up (SU) and 63-52 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 5.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 9.3 units (ATS). San Francisco has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Pirates are 57-56 SU and have gone 55-60 ATS. In total, the team’s accumulated 2.1 units for moneyline bettors, but have lost 7.3 units ATS. Pittsburgh is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
San Francisco games have an over/under record of 53-58-4 in 2018. The Pirates have an over/under record of 55-52-8.
Trevor Williams will get the nod for Pittsburgh. The right-handed Williams (9-8, 3.88 ERA) has racked up 80 strikeouts in 116 innings so far. He has yet to face San Francisco this year, but he made two starts against the Giants in 2017, posting a 0-0 record against them with a 2.25 ERA and five strikeouts.
The Giants will send lefty Andrew Suarez (4-8, 4.64 ERA) to the mound. Suarez has 96 strikeouts and 26 walks to his name, as well as a 1.33 WHIP. Suarez is 0-2 with nine strikeouts and an 8.00 ERA over two starts against Pittsburgh this year.
San Francisco’s pitchers have allowed 4.3 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The club’s starters have a 4.27 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.51 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 8.6 K/9.
The San Francisco offense has produced 4.0 runs per contest, including 3.6 per game over its last 10 games and 3.6 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .253/.306/.388 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.
The Giants’ hitters have been led by shortstop Brandon Crawford and right fielder Andrew McCutchen. Crawford is slashing .279/.347/.435 with 11 home runs, 45 RBIs and 47 runs scored, and McCutchen’s line sits at .263/.358/.421 with 12 homers, 46 RBIs and 55 runs.
For the visiting squad, Pittsburgh’s pitchers have allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.21 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 7.33 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.21, along with a WHIP of 1.31 and a K/9 of 9.68.
The Pirates offense has slashed .253/.322/.413 on its way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).
Pittsburgh’s offensive production has been led by outfielders Corey Dickerson and Starling Marte, who collectively have launched 27 home runs. Dickerson is slashing .314/.348/.508 with 11 home runs, 44 RBIs and 50 runs scored, while Marte (.282/.329/.478) is up to 16 homers, 54 RBIs, 59 runs and 25 stolen bases.
The Pirates have lost 7.3 units and are 12-20 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 20 of those games, compared to 11 that’ve hit the under against lefty starters. On the other hand, the Giants have netted 5.8 units and are 39-29 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 29 of those games, as opposed to 36 which went under the total.
Pittsburgh Pirates at San Francisco Giants MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Giants, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – OVER
Pittsburgh has recorded nine extra-base hits over its last five games. San Francisco has 13 XBH over its last five.
The Pirates have dropped four of their last five games SU.
San Francisco has posted 21.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 20.8 over its last five.
The Pirates have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games. The Giants have hit 10 over their last 10.
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