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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview 09/28/18

Aaron Doster-USA TODAY Sports

The ice-cold Cincinnati Reds will try to avoid losing their sixth straight game as they play host to the Pittsburgh Pirates at Great American Ball Park. The action begins at 6:40 p.m. ET and fans can catch the game on ATPT and FSOH.

Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds Odds

Vegas has offered matching moneyline odds (-105) on both of these teams. Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -105 for over nine runs and -115 for under nine. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds standing at +140 for the Pirates -1.5 runs and -160 for the Reds +1.5.

The Reds are 88-71 against the spread (ATS), but only 66-93 straight up (SU). The team has lost 14.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 2.9 units (ATS). The Pirates have gone 80-78 SU this year and are 77-80 ATS. Overall, the team’s accumulated 5.0 units for moneyline gamblers, but have lost 11.6 units ATS.

Cincinnati games have an over/under record of 76-78-5 in 2018. The Pirates have been a decent under bet with a total record of 69-78-10.

Nick Kingham is getting the nod for Pittsburgh. The right-handed Kingham (5-7, 5.23 ERA) has racked up 66 strikeouts in 72.1 innings so far. He’s 1-0 with three strikeouts and a 2.84 ERA against Cincinnati this year.

The Reds are preparing to start righty Anthony DeSclafani (7-7, 4.91 ERA), who has 102 strikeouts and 29 walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.31. DeSclafani is 1-1 with 10 strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA across two starts against Pittsburgh this year.

As a unit, Cincinnati’s pitching staff has allowed 5.1 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 5.06 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 7.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.13 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 8.0 K/9. In 73 games against NL Central foes, Reds starters have an ERA of 5.32 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.08.

The Cincinnati hitters are putting up 4.3 runs per contest, including 3.9 per game against divisional foes and 1.0 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .167/.215/.247 over its last five matchups and is 0-5 SU during that span.

Scooter Gennett has helped lead the Reds’ offense this year with 23 home runs, 92 RBIs and 86 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Pittsburgh’s pitching staff allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.98 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 7.61 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.08, along with a WHIP of 1.27.

Pirates hitters have slashed .253/.320/.406 on their way to 4.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Starling Marte has led Pittsburgh’s offense and is slashing .274/.323/.450 with 19 home runs, 71 RBIs, 77 runs and 33 stolen bases.

The Pirates just lost a 3-0 game to the Cubs, while the Reds are coming off of a 6-1 loss against the Royals.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Reds, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER

Click Here to Start Betting Today!

Notes

Betting Trends

The over has cashed in zero of Cincinnati’s last seven games.

The Pirates have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.

Pittsburgh has posted 21.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 19.4 over its last five.

The Reds have dropped six of their last seven games SU.

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Written by GMS Previews

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