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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals Free Pick 08/29/18

Peter G. Aiken/USA TODAY Sports

The Pittsburgh Pirates will be facing off against their divisional rival St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium. The matchup begins at 8:15 p.m. ET and you can catch the game on both ATPT and FSMW.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals Odds

Oddsmakers are listing St. Louis (-170) as the favorite over Pittsburgh (+160). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds posted at -105 for over 8 runs and -115 for under 8. You can also bet on the game’s runline with the odds standing at Pirates +1.5 runs (-135) and Cardinals -1.5 runs (+115).

The Pirates are 64-68 SU and have gone 63-68 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 3.6 units for moneyline bettors and 10.0 units ATS. Pittsburgh is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Cardinals, on the other hand, are 74-58 SU and 69-62 ATS. They’ve gained 5.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 5.7 units ATS. St. Louis has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven.

Cardinals games have a 61-64-6 over/under record in 2018. The Pirates have an over/under record of 61-62-8.

The right-handed Trevor Williams will get the nod for Pittsburgh. Williams is 10-9 with a 3.44 ERA and 90 strikeouts. He’s 1-2 with 12 strikeouts and a 5.85 ERA against St. Louis this year (four starts).

The Cardinals are handing the ball to righty Miles Mikolas (13-3, 2.94 ERA), who’s got 112 punchouts and 26 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.09. Mikolas is 0-1 with 14 strikeouts and a 3.32 ERA over three starts against Pittsburgh this year.

Pittsburgh’s pitchers have allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starters own a 4.16 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 7.24 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.02, along with a K-per-9 of 9.63.

The Pirates offense has slashed .254/.322/.409 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).

Pittsburgh’s hitters have been led by outfielders Corey Dickerson and Starling Marte. Dickerson is slashing .295/.325/.461 with 11 home runs, 46 RBIs and 53 runs scored, while Marte (.275/.322/.458) is up to 17 homers, 58 RBIs, 66 runs and 29 steals.

In the home-team dugout, St. Louis’ pitchers have given up 4.1 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starting pitching staff has a 3.36 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.24 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 8.1 K/9. In 62 games against NL Central foes, Cardinals starters have an ERA of 3.43 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.37.

The St. Louis hitters are putting up 4.6 runs per outing, including 4.6 per game against divisional foes and 5.6 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .280/.326/.480 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

The Cardinals’ batters have been led by first baseman Jose Martinez and left fielder Marcell Ozuna. Martinez is slashing .309/.366/.476 with 16 home runs, 75 RBIs and 49 runs scored, while Ozuna’s line is .275/.319/.409 with 16 homers, 69 RBIs and 52 runs scored.

The Pirates have gained 4.2 units and are 46-46 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 38 of those games, compared to 47 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Cardinals have lost 1.9 units and are 47-45 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 38 of those games, compared to 49 that went under.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Cardinals, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

Pittsburgh has logged 17 extra-base hits over its last five games. St. Louis has 21 XBH over its last five.

The Pirates have lost six of their last seven games SU while the Cardinals have taken six of their last seven.

Pittsburgh has posted 19.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 23.6 over its last five.

The Pirates have hit five home runs in their last 10 games, including three over their last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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