The Orlando Magic (2-2) clash against the Portland Trail Blazers (2-1) at Amway Center. The game starts at 7 p.m. ET on Thursday, October 25, 2018.
Portland opened as a 3.5-point favorite, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 218 points.
Portland Trail Blazers vs. Orlando Magic ATS Prediction
The last time the Trail Blazers played, they were 4.5-point favorites and were defeated by the Washington Wizards, 125-124. The game’s total points (249) were well over the O/U total of 228. Washington’s turnover percentage was their biggest strength over Portland. The Wizards had a rate of 7.6, while the Trail Blazers posted a mark of 13.5. Jusuf Nurkic put together a good game for Portland, contributing 22 points and 18 rebounds.
The Magic edged the Boston Celtics in their last contest, 93-90, despite being 11-point underdogs. The game’s total points (183) came in well under the O/U total of 211.5. Orlando’s turnover percentage was their biggest advantage over Boston. The Magic had a rate of 8.5 (better than their season average of 11.8), while the Celtics posted a mark of 11.2. Nikola Vucevic was the top scorer from either team with 24 points on 11-for-18 shooting.
It could be a tough game for Orlando on the offensive glass. Dating back to last season, the Magic rank 28th in offensive rebounding percentage (20.2 percent), while Portland ranks fifth in defensive rebounding percentage (79.2 percent).
The Trail Blazers have had records of 51-34 straight up (SU) and 43-46 against the spread (ATS) since last season. Portland games have had a tendency to go over the projected point total since last season (56.2 percent).
Meanwhile, the Magic, are 27-59 SU and 36-49-1 ATS since last season. Vegas has been fairly accurate when predicting totals of Orlando games over that same stretch with 45 unders compared to 41 overs.
The Trail Blazers won both meetings against the Magic last season. In the most recent matchup, Portland won 95-88. Portland’s 0.477 effective field goal percentage was its biggest strength over Orlando, who had a mark of 0.440.
Portland Trail Blazers at Orlando Magic Betting Pick
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Notes
Betting Notes (2017-Present):
When holding opponents below 100 points, Orlando is 13-9 and Portland is 26-8.
When scoring above 100 points, the Magic are 25-32 and the Trail Blazers are 46-22.
Portland averages 45.8 rebounds per game, which ranks third in the league. Orlando ranks 29th in rebounds allowed per game (46.1).
The Trail Blazers rank fifth in points allowed in the paint per game (43.0) while the Magic rank 28th (48.1).
Portland ranks sixth in second chance points per game (13.7) while Orlando ranks 27th (11.1).
The Trail Blazers rank second in assists allowed per game (20.6) while the Magic rank 23rd (24.4).
Orlando ranks 13th in fast break points per game (12.4) while Portland ranks last (8.7).
The Trail Blazers average 5.1 blocks per game, which ranks seventh in the NBA. The Magic rank 17th in blocks allowed per game (4.8).
Orlando ranks 23rd in points off turnovers per game (15.5) while Portland ranks 29th (14.1).
The Trail Blazers rank fourth in three pointers allowed per game (26.7) while the Magic rank ninth (28.0).
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