The No. 19 Purdue Boilermakers (5-2) visit Michigan to take on the No. 7 Wolverines (7-0) in a matchup that pits outstanding offense against tremendous defense. The game starts at 3:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, December 1, 2018, and will air on ESPN.
Purdue Boilermakers at Michigan Wolverines ATS Prediction
In the Boilermakers’ last matchup, they were topped by the No. 15 Florida State Seminoles, 73-72. Florida State’s turnover percentage was their biggest strength over Purdue. The Seminoles had a rate of 21.0 (worse than their season average of 18.1), while the Boilermakers posted a mark of 24.4 (above their season average of 14.6). Carsen Edwards was the game’s high scorer with 24 points on 7-for-19 shooting.
The Wolverines beat the No. 11 North Carolina Tar Heels in their last game, 84-67. The Wolverines had a better free throw rate (0.204 vs. 0.121) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.676 (above their season average of 0.510). Ignas Brazdeikis was the top scorer from either team with 24 points on 9-for-13 shooting from the field.
The Boilermakers won two of the three games against the Wolverines last season. In the last contest, Michigan won 75-66. The Wolverines had a much better turnover percentage (7.4 vs. 15.0) and had a better free throw rate (0.288 vs. 0.218).
This battle pits one of the nation’s top offenses against one of its elite defenses. Dating back to the 2017-18 season, Michigan ranks 45th in offensive efficiency and Purdue ranks 27th in defensive efficiency.
Purdue vs. Michigan Odds Pick
College Basketball Pick: SU Winner – Michigan, ATS Winner – Michigan, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes (2017-Present):
Purdue ranks 34th in blocks per game (4.6) while Michigan ranks 149th (3.4).
The Wolverines rank third in three pointers allowed per game (16.5) while the Boilermakers rank 117th (21.1).
Purdue ranks 27th in assists per game (16.1) while Michigan ranks 118th (14.4).
The Boilermakers rank 165th in rebounds per game (35.6) while the Wolverines rank 233rd (34.2).
Michigan allows the third-fewest steals per game (3.9) while Purdue ranks 25th (5.1).
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